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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Damian Kos

Lech Poznan

U U T S S

1–2

Full-time

Zaglebie

U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Zaglebie

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 39%

60%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

80%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,7

Scored

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,34 xG 0,78

64% Possession 36%

26 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 4

11 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 6

0 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lech Poznan 6. · Zaglebie 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	7	5	1	1	+6	+6.2	16
2	Cracovia	7	4	2	1	+4	+2.5	14
3	Gornik Zabrze	7	4	0	3	+5	-0.2	12
4	Jagiellonia	5	4	0	1	+3	-2.5	12
5	Korona Kielce	7	3	2	2	+3	-2.1	11
6	Lech Poznan	5	3	1	1	+0	+3.4	10
7	Pogon Szczecin	7	3	1	3	-2	+2.0	10
8	Radomiak Radom	7	2	2	3	+1	-0.1	8
9	Nieciecza	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.2	8
10	Motor Lublin	6	2	2	2	-3	-1.0	8
11	Arka Gdynia	7	2	2	3	-3	-3.8	8
12	Lechia Gdansk	8	2	2	4	-5	-2.9	8
13	Legia	5	2	1	2	+2	+3.6	7
14	Widzew Lodz	7	2	1	4	+0	+2.2	7
15	GKS Katowice	8	2	1	5	-7	-6.8	7
16	Zaglebie	6	1	3	2	+2	+0.7	6
17	Rakow	5	2	0	3	-3	-0.3	6
18	Piast Gliwice	5	0	3	2	-3	-0.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	4	4	0	0	+6	+5.2	12
2	Cracovia	4	3	1	0	+4	+2.6	10
3	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+2	-2.5	9
4	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+5	+1.2	7
5	GKS Katowice	4	2	1	1	+3	-3.0	7
6	Widzew Lodz	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.1	7
7	Lechia Gdansk	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.3	7
8	Arka Gdynia	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.8	7
9	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	-1	+1.7	7
10	Korona Kielce	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.0	6
11	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.3	6
12	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.4	6
13	Zaglebie	3	1	2	0	+4	+1.2	5
14	Legia	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.3	4
15	Motor Lublin	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
16	Piast Gliwice	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.1	1
17	Nieciecza	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.3	1
18	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nieciecza	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.5	7
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+3	-1.7	6
3	Rakow	4	2	0	2	-2	+0.8	6
4	Korona Kielce	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.2	5
5	Cracovia	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.0	4
6	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
7	Pogon Szczecin	4	1	1	2	-4	+1.6	4
8	Motor Lublin	4	1	1	2	-4	-1.9	4
9	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
10	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
11	Legia	3	1	0	2	+0	+1.2	3
12	Piast Gliwice	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.8	2
13	Zaglebie	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.5	1
14	Radomiak Radom	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.3	1
15	Arka Gdynia	4	0	1	3	-5	-2.0	1
16	Lechia Gdansk	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.2	1
17	Widzew Lodz	3	0	0	3	-3	+1.1	0
18	GKS Katowice	4	0	0	4	-10	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.