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Championship
Referee: F Hallam
Ipswich
U U U T U
5–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,33 xG 0,42
47% Possession 53%
21 Shots 10
11 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ipswich 20. · Sheffield United 24.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 4 4 0 0 +6 +1.6 12
2 West Brom 4 3 1 0 +3 +0.2 10
3 Stoke 4 3 0 1 +5 +0.5 9
4 Leicester 4 3 0 1 +3 -1.1 9
5 Coventry 4 2 2 0 +8 +4.2 8
6 Bristol City 4 2 2 0 +5 -0.1 8
7 Swansea 4 2 1 1 +2 +1.6 7
8 Portsmouth 4 2 1 1 +1 +0.6 7
9 Preston 4 2 1 1 +1 +0.3 7
10 Birmingham 4 2 1 1 +0 +3.0 7
11 Norwich 4 2 0 2 +1 -1.0 6
12 Millwall 4 2 0 2 -3 +2.0 6
13 Southampton 4 1 2 1 +0 +3.7 5
14 Watford 4 1 2 1 +0 -0.4 5
15 Wrexham 4 1 1 2 +0 -5.2 4
16 Charlton 4 1 1 2 -2 +1.2 4
17 Hull 4 1 1 2 -4 -3.5 4
18 QPR 4 1 1 2 -5 -1.5 4
19 Blackburn 4 1 0 3 -1 +0.3 3
20 Ipswich 4 0 3 1 -1 +3.0 3
21 Derby 4 0 2 2 -4 -4.2 2
22 Oxford 4 0 1 3 -3 -2.7 1
23 Sheffield Weds 4 0 1 3 -6 -2.0 1
24 Sheffield United 4 0 0 4 -6 -0.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich Sheffield United
1–0 J. Philogene
20′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 J. Philogene
G. Hirst
51′
53′
🟨 Mark McGuinness
3–0 G. Hirst
61′
62′
🔁 G. Hamer
↦ L. Barry
62′
🔁 D. Soumare
↦ A. Matos
62′
🔁 T. Campbell
↦ T. Cannon
M. Nunez 🔁
↦ J. Cajuste
63′
S. Szmodics 🔁
↦ C. Akpom
63′
63′
🔁 T. Chong
↦ A. Brooks
4–0 J. Philogene
D. Furlong
68′
J. Clarke 🔁
↦ J. Philogene
71′
S. W. Egeli 🔁
↦ K. McAteer
71′
I. Azon 🔁
↦ G. Hirst
71′
5–0 J. Clarke
78′
83′
🔁 F. Seriki
↦ B. Godfrey
90′
🟨 Japhet Tanganga
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Ipswich

4-2-3-1
1 A. Palmer G
19 D. Furlong D
26 D. O'Shea D
24 J. Greaves D
3 L. Davis D
5 A. Matusiwa M
12 J. Cajuste M
20 K. McAteer M
29 C. Akpom M
11 J. Philogene M
9 G. Hirst F
Bench (9)
28 C. Walton
18 B. Johnson
4 C. Kipre
32 M. Nunez
14 J. Taylor
23 S. Szmodics
47 J. Clarke
7 S. W. Egeli
90 I. Azon

Coach: Kieran McKenna

Sheffield United

4-2-3-1
1 M. Cooper G
5 B. Godfrey D
2 J. Tanganga D
25 M. McGuinness D
14 H. Burrows D
42 S. Peck M
28 A. Matos M
11 A. Brooks M
10 C. O'Hare M
27 L. Barry M
7 T. Cannon F
Bench (9)
17 T. Davies
3 S. McCallum
8 G. Hamer
15 B. Mee
18 D. Soumare
23 T. Campbell
24 T. Chong
26 R. One
38 F. Seriki

Coach: Chris Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,82
U
3,63
B
4,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,86
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Hallam · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.