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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Genk
U U T S S
4–1
Full-time
Beveren
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Beveren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 22/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
45%
11%
Points per game
1,6
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
68%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
64%
56%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,4
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

62% Possession 38%
8 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 7. · Beveren 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 20 16 3 1 +35 51
2 Charleroi 21 13 5 3 +20 44
3 Antwerp 22 13 4 5 +19 43
4 Standard 21 12 5 4 +21 41
5 Gent 20 11 5 4 +18 38
6 Waregem 21 10 5 6 +10 35
7 Genk 22 10 5 7 +8 35
8 Mechelen 20 9 5 6 +3 32
9 Mouscron 19 6 8 5 +2 26
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 19 6 8 5 +2 26
11 Anderlecht 20 5 9 6 +0 24
12 St Truiden 21 6 5 10 -16 23
13 Eupen 21 5 5 11 -17 20
14 Kortrijk 22 4 4 14 -13 16
15 Oostende 20 4 4 12 -16 16
16 Cercle Brugge 22 3 4 15 -27 13
17 Beveren 18 2 5 11 -23 11
18 Waasland-Beveren 19 2 5 12 -26 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Beveren
1–0 T. Bongonda
10′
2–0 P. Onuachu
T. Bongonda
26′
3–0 J. Lucumí
S. Dewaest
35′
36′
🟨 Daam Foulon
Half-time 3–0
56′
🔁 M. Verreth
↦ Y. Kobayashi
64′
🔁 T. Agyepong
↦ S. Milošević
I. Hagi 🔁
↦ J. Paintsil
69′
4–0 S. Berge
I. Hagi
69′
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ T. Bongonda
77′
D. Wouters 🔁
↦ P. Onuachu
84′
84′
🔁 D. Jubitana
↦ A. Tshibola
Jhon Lucumi 🟨
87′
88′
A. Vukotić 4–1
B. Badibanga
90′
🟨 Aboubakary Koita
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
6 S. Dewaest D
33 J. Lucumí D
31 J. Mæhle M
5 Neto D
17 P. Hrošovský M
25 S. Berge M
18 P. Onuachu F
27 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito
11 J. Paintsil F
Bench (7)
23 I. Hagi
10 M. Samatta
4 D. Wouters
35 S. Adewoye
54 V. Screciu
15 S. Odey
28 G. Coucke

Coach: H. Wolf

Beveren

4-2-3-1
21 L. Pirard G
7 A. Wiegel D
52 J. Schrijvers D
26 A. Vukotić D
23 M. Caufriez D
28 D. Foulon D
10 Y. Kobayashi M
6 A. Tshibola M
99 S. Milošević F
11 B. Badibanga
17 A. Koita F
Bench (7)
29 M. Verreth
40 T. Agyepong
14 D. Jubitana
98 D. Sula
8 D. Bizimana
19 A. Gamboa
44 B. Gabriel

Coach: A. Mercier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.