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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Gent
S S T U S
2–0
Full-time
Waregem
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 50%
53%
47%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 48%
53%
42%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

12 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 5
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 5. · Waregem 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 19 15 3 1 +34 48
2 Antwerp 21 12 4 5 +18 40
3 Charleroi 19 12 4 3 +17 40
4 Standard 19 12 3 4 +21 39
5 Gent 19 10 5 4 +16 35
6 Waregem 19 9 5 5 +8 32
7 Mechelen 20 9 5 6 +3 32
8 Genk 20 8 5 7 +4 29
9 Anderlecht 19 5 8 6 +0 23
10 St Truiden 19 6 5 8 -11 23
11 Mouscron 17 5 7 5 +1 22
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 5 7 5 +1 22
13 Eupen 19 4 5 10 -17 17
14 Kortrijk 20 4 4 12 -11 16
15 Oostende 19 4 4 11 -15 16
16 Cercle Brugge 20 3 4 13 -23 13
17 Waasland-Beveren 18 2 5 11 -23 11
18 Beveren 18 2 5 11 -23 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Waregem
1–0 R. Bezus
2′
2–0 R. Yaremchuk
V. Odjidja-Ofoe
28′
Elisha Owusu 🟨
38′
Roman Bezus 🟨
40′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 L. Zarandia
↦ D. Oberlin
46′
🔁 S. Berahino
↦ H. Bjørdal
54′
🟨 Damien Marcq
D. Mbayo 🔁
↦ R. Bezus
69′
G. Chakvetadze 🔁
↦ S. Kums
76′
77′
🔁 M. De Smet
↦ L. Zarandia
G. Kvilitaia 🔁
↦ L. Depoitre
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Gent

4-4-2
1 T. Kaminski G
23 M. Lustig D
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
15 M. Mohammadi D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
9 R. Bezus M
6 E. Owusu M
29 L. Depoitre F
7 R. Yaremchuk F
Bench (7)
18 D. Mbayo
10 G. Chakvetadze
13 G. Kvilitaia
11 J. Dompé
14 A. Castro-Montes
26 C. Coosemans
21 N. Asare

Coach: J. Thorup

Waregem

4-4-2
1 S. Bossut G
2 D. De fauw D
23 M. Bürki D
4 G. Mensah M
24 E. Pletinckx D
5 D. Marcq M
21 I. Seck M
20 H. Bjørdal M
19 G. Bruno F
27 D. Oberlin F
9 C. Larin F
Bench (7)
7 L. Zarandia
38 S. Berahino
29 M. De Smet
14 S. Walsh
44 E. Bansen
6 A. Sissako
33 C. Humphreys

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,34
U
5,20
B
7,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,39
U2,5 ✓
2,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.