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Pro League
Referee: A Boucaut
Gent
T S S U S
0–3
Full-time
Waregem
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 38%
43%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
64%
73%
Both score Ø 69%
71%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

13 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
8 Corners 0
15 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 11. · Waregem 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 15 9 5 1 +17 32
2 Beerschot VA 15 10 1 4 +6 31
3 Club Brugge 14 7 4 3 +17 25
4 Charleroi 14 7 3 4 +8 24
5 Antwerp 13 6 5 2 +7 23
6 Standard 13 6 5 2 +5 23
7 Anderlecht 13 5 7 1 +9 22
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13 6 4 3 +2 22
9 Cercle Brugge 16 7 0 9 -3 21
10 Eupen 15 4 8 3 -2 20
11 Gent 14 6 1 7 +4 19
12 Kortrijk 15 5 4 6 -1 19
13 Waregem 15 5 2 8 -8 17
14 Oostende 13 4 4 5 +3 16
15 Mechelen 12 4 3 5 -3 15
16 St Truiden 14 2 6 6 -9 12
17 Waasland-Beveren 13 2 3 8 -13 9
18 Beveren 13 2 3 8 -13 9
19 Mouscron 12 1 4 7 -13 7
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 12 1 4 7 -13 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Waregem
Michael Ngadeu 🟨
25′
27′
O. Govea 0–1
37′
T. Chorý 0–2
B. Srarfi
Half-time 0–2
E. Owusu 🔁
↦ R. Bezus
46′
54′
🟨 Laurens De Bock
A. Niangbo 🔁
↦ S. Kums
64′
71′
🔁 J. Vossen
↦ T. Chorý
J. Botaka 🔁
↦ A. Castro-Montes
77′
82′
J. Vossen 0–3
O. Govea
89′
🔁 P. Armenakas
↦ O. Govea
91′
🔁 M. De Smet
↦ B. Srarfi
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Gent

3-5-2
1 S. Bolat G
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
25 Núrio Fortuna D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
9 R. Bezus M
30 N. Dorsch M
20 O. Bukari F
Bench (7)
6 E. Owusu
11 A. Niangbo
17 J. Botaka
31 B. Godeau
36 D. Arslanagić
19 M. Samoise
33 D. Roef

Coach: W. De Decker

Waregem

4-3-3
25 L. Bostyn G
3 O. Deschacht D
27 L. De Bock D
4 D. Opare D
33 C. Humphreys D
5 D. Marcq M
21 I. Seck M
10 O. Govea M
11 B. Srarfi M
19 G. Bruno F
15 T. Chorý F
Bench (7)
9 J. Vossen
23 P. Armenakas
29 M. De Smet
24 E. Pletinckx
17 J. Dompé
6 A. Sissako
1 S. Bossut

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,49
U
4,61
B ✓
5,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Boucaut · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.