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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Genk
S S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Standard
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 21/26 matches
Win Ø 40%
48%
31%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
62%
Average goals
3,6
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 24
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 10. · Standard 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 22 18 2 2 +41 56
2 Anderlecht 24 15 7 2 +39 52
3 Antwerp 25 16 4 5 +20 52
4 Club Brugge 22 13 5 4 +15 44
5 Charleroi 23 12 6 5 +14 42
6 Kortrijk 28 10 10 8 +3 40
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 28 10 9 9 +0 39
8 Cercle Brugge 29 11 5 13 +5 38
9 Mechelen 24 12 2 10 -1 38
10 Genk 21 10 4 7 +17 34
11 Gent 22 9 7 6 +8 34
12 St Truiden 28 10 4 14 -8 34
13 Standard 26 8 8 10 -10 32
14 Oostende 28 9 4 15 -24 31
15 Eupen 29 7 7 15 -15 28
16 Waregem 28 6 8 14 -23 26
17 Seraing 27 7 2 18 -27 23
18 Seraing United 27 7 2 18 -27 23
19 Beerschot VA 27 4 4 19 -27 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Standard
Patrik Hrošovský 🟨
41′
42′
🟨 Mathieu Cafaro
1–0 T. Bongonda
M. Trésor
44′
45′
🟨 Selim Amallah
Half-time 2–0
2–0 P. Onuachu
53′
Mark McKenzie 🟨
68′
70′
🔁 A. Tapsoba
↦ M. Cafaro
70′
🔁 S. Bastien
↦ M. Sissako
71′
🔁 M. Carcela-González
↦ A. Dønnum
L. Oyen 🔁
↦ M. Trésor
75′
Junya Ito 🟨
80′
Kristian Thorstvedt 🟨
80′
81′
🟨 Renaud Emond
83′
🔁 D. Drăguş
↦ S. Amallah
86′
🔁 D. Pavlović
↦ N. Raskin
A. Ouattara 🔁
↦ T. Bongonda
88′
J. Paintsil 🔁
↦ P. Onuachu
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Genk

4-3-3
26 M. Vandevoordt G
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
23 D. Muñoz D
17 P. Hrošovský M
11 M. Trésor M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda F
7 J. Ito F
Bench (7)
24 L. Oyen
4 A. Ouattara
28 J. Paintsil
33 J. Lucumí
15 J. Geusens
77 Á. Preciado
40 T. Leysen

Coach: B. Storck

Standard

4-4-2
16 A. Bodart G
34 K. Laifis D
5 M. Sissako D
31 A. Calut D
33 N. Ngoy D
20 M. Bokadi M
24 M. Cafaro M
19 S. Amallah F
11 A. Dønnum M
26 N. Raskin M
18 R. Emond F
Bench (7)
23 A. Tapsoba
28 S. Bastien
10 M. Carcela-González
7 D. Drăguş
4 D. Pavlović
6 N. Dussenne
30 L. Henkinet

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,68
U
4,03
B
4,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.