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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Nantes
S U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Reims
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 33%
39%
26%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
39%
39%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nantes 11. · Reims 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 24 18 5 1 +33 59
2 Marseille 23 12 7 4 +16 43
3 Nice 24 13 4 7 +15 43
4 Strasbourg 23 11 5 7 +16 38
5 Lyon 24 10 8 6 +3 38
6 Rennes 24 11 4 9 +21 37
7 Monaco 24 10 7 7 +11 37
8 Lille 24 9 8 7 -3 35
9 Montpellier 24 10 4 10 +4 34
10 Lens 23 9 6 8 +3 33
11 Nantes 23 9 5 9 +2 32
12 Angers 23 7 8 8 -4 29
13 Brest 23 7 7 9 -7 28
14 Reims 23 6 9 8 +0 27
15 Clermont 23 6 6 11 -16 24
16 Troyes 23 5 6 12 -11 21
17 Lorient 24 4 9 11 -18 21
18 Metz 23 4 8 11 -19 20
19 Bordeaux 23 4 8 11 -24 20
20 St Etienne 23 4 6 13 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Reims
14′
🟥 Yunis Abdelhamid
1–0 M. Simon
17′
M. Coco 🔁
↦ Fábio
19′
20′
🔁 M. Adeline
↦ B. Locko
Half-time 1–0
Andrei Girotto 🟨
53′
62′
🔁 S. Sissoko
↦ G. Konan
J. Augustin 🔁
↦ M. Simon
73′
W. Geubbels 🔁
↦ R. Kolo Muani
73′
76′
🔁 M. van Bergen
↦ A. Flips
76′
🔁 F. Hornby
↦ N. Mbuku
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Nantes

3-4-3
1 A. Lafont G
2 Fábio M
4 N. Pallois D
12 D. Appiah D
21 J. Castelletto D
3 Andrei Girotto M
5 Chirivella M
10 L. Blas F
29 Q. Merlin M
27 M. Simon F
23 R. Kolo Muani F
Bench (9)
11 M. Coco
20 J. Augustin
19 W. Geubbels
24 S. Corchia
6 R. Pereira de Sa
14 C. Traoré
26 O. Bukari
8 W. Cyprien
30 D. Petrić

Coach: A. Kombouare

Reims

4-4-1-1
1 P. Rajković G
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
2 W. Faes D
3 G. Konan D
4 M. Busi D
28 B. Locko M
21 A. Matusiwa M
15 M. Munetsi M
12 A. Flips M
11 N. Mbuku F
22 H. Ekitike F
Bench (9)
35 M. Adeline
33 S. Sissoko
19 M. van Bergen
18 F. Hornby
16 Y. Diouf
20 I. Kebbal
36 I. Diakité
34 K. Doumbia
30 N. Penneteau

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,19
U
3,12
B
3,66
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,44
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.