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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Standard
T S S U U
1–0
Full-time
Genk
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 61%
64%
58%
Points per game
2,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
73%
75%
Both score Ø 66%
64%
67%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

10 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 6
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 2. · Genk 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 12 10 2 0 +26 32
2 Standard 11 7 2 2 +17 23
3 Genk 12 7 2 3 +9 23
4 Antwerp 10 6 2 2 +11 20
5 Mechelen 11 5 3 3 +0 18
6 Gent 10 5 2 3 +7 17
7 Waregem 11 4 5 2 +6 17
8 Mouscron 11 4 4 3 +1 16
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 4 4 3 +1 16
10 Charleroi 10 4 3 3 +4 15
11 St Truiden 12 3 4 5 -8 13
12 Kortrijk 11 3 2 6 -1 11
13 Anderlecht 12 2 5 5 -4 11
14 Oostende 11 3 2 6 -9 11
15 Waasland-Beveren 10 1 4 5 -12 7
16 Beveren 10 1 4 5 -12 7
17 Eupen 12 1 4 7 -18 7
18 Cercle Brugge 11 2 0 9 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Genk
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 P. Hrošovský
↦ I. Hagi
Gojko Cimirot 🟨
61′
63′
🟨 Sébastien Dewaest
M. Carcela 🔁
↦ S. Amallah
72′
O. Oularé 🔁
↦ F. Avenatti
81′
81′
🔁 D. Ndongala
↦ J. Ito
Obbi Oulare 🟨
83′
1–0 S. Bastien
C. Fai
84′
87′
🔁 P. Onuachu
↦ B. Heynen
M. Vojvoda 🔁
↦ M. Lestienne
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Standard

4-2-3-1
16 A. Bodart G
34 K. Laifis D
24 N. Gavory D
21 C. Fai D
3 Z. Vanheusden D
22 M. Lestienne M
8 G. Cimirot M
40 P. M'Poku F
28 S. Bastien M
19 S. Amallah M
25 F. Avenatti F
Bench (7)
10 M. Carcela
17 O. Oularé
27 M. Vojvoda
30 V. Savić
32 J. Carcela-Gonzalez
4 D. Lavalée
18 A. Boljević

Coach: M. Preud'homme

Genk

4-2-3-1
28 G. Coucke G
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
33 J. Lucumí D
31 J. Mæhle M
23 I. Hagi M
25 S. Berge M
8 B. Heynen M
10 M. Samatta F
27 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito
Bench (7)
17 P. Hrošovský
77 D. Ndongala
18 P. Onuachu
26 M. Vandevoordt
2 C. De Norre
46 C. Cuesta
4 D. Wouters

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,21
U
3,64
B
2,96
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.