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LaLiga2
Referee: José Guzmán
Oviedo
T S U T S
0–1
Full-time
Burgos
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 37%
35%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 19%
15%
23%
Both score Ø 29%
31%
27%
Average goals
1,4
1,4
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
7 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 12. · Burgos 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 27 14 10 3 +18 52
2 Levante 27 13 11 3 +14 50
3 Alaves 27 14 7 6 +12 49
4 Granada 27 14 5 8 +16 47
5 Eibar 26 13 8 5 +8 47
6 Albacete 27 12 9 6 +6 45
7 Burgos 26 10 10 6 +7 40
8 Leganes 26 10 8 8 +3 38
9 Cartagena 26 9 7 10 -1 34
10 Huesca 26 8 10 8 -1 34
11 Tenerife 27 8 10 9 -2 34
12 Oviedo 26 9 7 10 -3 34
13 Villarreal B 27 9 7 11 -5 34
14 Mirandes 27 8 9 10 -3 33
15 Zaragoza 27 8 9 10 -3 33
16 Andorra 27 9 5 13 +1 32
17 Sp Gijon 26 7 11 8 -2 32
18 Santander 26 6 9 11 -5 27
19 Ponferradina 26 6 9 11 -9 27
20 Malaga 27 4 10 13 -12 22
21 Lugo 27 5 7 15 -17 22
22 Ibiza 26 4 6 16 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Burgos
Jimmy Suárez 🟨
19′
Half-time 0–1
50′
Miguel Atienza 0–1
Jesús Areso
Rodri Tarín 🟨
53′
Sergi Enrich 🟨
55′
Sergi Enrich 🟨
55′
Sergi Enrich 🟥
55′
Luismi 🟨
63′
Ángel Montoro 🔁
↦ K. Koindredi
64′
70′
🔁 Curro Sánchez
↦ Mourad
L. Sequeira 🔁
↦ Raul Moro
77′
Juanfran 🔁
↦ Lucas Ahijado
77′
78′
🔁 Pablo Valcarce
↦ Álex Bermejo
78′
🔁 Miki Muñoz
↦ Gaspar Campos
85′
🔁 Fran García
↦ Jesús Areso
85′
🔁 Raúl Navarro
↦ José Matos
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-4-2
1 Q. Braat G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
3 Rodri Tarín D
12 Dani Calvo D
2 Abel Bretones D
40 Raul Moro M
14 Jimmy Suárez M
5 Luismi M
18 K. Koindredi M
23 Sergi Enrich F
8 Manu Vallejo F
Bench (10)
19 Ángel Montoro
17 L. Sequeira
22 Juanfran
13 Tomeu Nadal
11 M. Flores
31 Mangel Prendes
10 Borja Sánchez
21 Carlos Pomares
15 Oier Luengo
16 Camarasa

Coach: Álvaro

Burgos

5-4-1
13 José Caro G
19 Jesús Areso D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
21 David Goldar D
20 Grego D
23 José Matos D
10 Álex Bermejo M
14 Unai Elgezabal M
5 Miguel Atienza M
11 Gaspar Campos M
9 Mourad F
Bench (11)
16 Curro Sánchez
8 Pablo Valcarce
22 Miki Muñoz
3 Fran García
6 Raúl Navarro
1 Dani Barrio
2 Borja González
4 Míchel Zabaco
15 Juan Hernández
7 Juan Artola
12 Sergio Castel

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,07
U
2,90
B ✓
4,16
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
3,14
U2,5 ✓
1,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Guzmán · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.