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Super League

Referee: A Kanagasingam

Lugano

S S S U T

1–1

Full-time

Luzern

T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

This season — Super League · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 37%

42%

32%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

63%

53%

Both score Ø 66%

68%

63%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

17 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 9

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 4. · Luzern 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	19	12	6	1	+31	42
2	Servette	19	7	8	4	-1	29
3	St. Gallen	19	8	4	7	+11	28
4	Lugano	19	8	3	8	+0	27
5	Basel	20	6	7	7	+4	25
6	Luzern	19	6	7	6	+1	25
7	Grasshoppers	20	6	6	8	-3	24
8	Sion	20	5	6	9	-10	21
9	Zurich	19	4	7	8	-12	19
10	Winterthur	18	5	4	9	-21	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	9	7	2	0	+20	23
2	St. Gallen	10	6	3	1	+11	21
3	Servette	10	5	5	0	+6	20
4	Grasshoppers	10	5	2	3	+3	17
5	Basel	10	4	4	2	+6	16
6	Winterthur	9	4	2	3	-9	14
7	Lugano	9	4	1	4	+0	13
8	Luzern	10	2	5	3	-1	11
9	Zurich	9	2	3	4	-5	9
10	Sion	10	2	2	6	-10	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	10	5	4	1	+11	19
2	Luzern	9	4	2	3	+2	14
3	Lugano	10	4	2	4	+0	14
4	Sion	10	3	4	3	+0	13
5	Zurich	10	2	4	4	-7	10
6	Basel	10	2	3	5	-2	9
7	Servette	9	2	3	4	-7	9
8	St. Gallen	9	2	1	6	+0	7
9	Grasshoppers	10	1	4	5	-6	7
10	Winterthur	9	1	2	6	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.