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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Eupen
T T U S T
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
3,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-2,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,86 xG 2,71
40% Possession 60%
17 Shots 22
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 9. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 4 3 1 0 +12 +7.8 10
2 Cercle Brugge 2 2 0 0 +3 +2.2 6
3 Anderlecht 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.6 6
4 St. Gilloise 3 2 0 1 +1 +2.2 6
5 RWD Molenbeek 4 2 0 2 -8 -3.8 6
6 Antwerp 2 1 1 0 +6 -0.0 4
7 Mechelen 3 1 1 1 +3 -1.0 4
8 Genk 3 1 1 1 +3 +5.9 4
9 Eupen 3 1 1 1 -4 -4.7 4
10 St Truiden 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.7 3
11 Charleroi 4 0 3 1 -2 -3.4 3
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4 0 2 2 -5 +0.0 2
13 Westerlo 3 0 1 2 -2 -1.9 1
14 Standard 3 0 1 2 -2 -4.0 1
15 Kortrijk 3 0 0 3 -8 -0.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1–0 G. Magnée
24′
32′
🟨 Ezechiel Banzuzi
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. N’Dri
↦ F. Miguel
2–0 I. Nuhu
A. Finnbogason
50′
Regan Charles-Cook 🔁
↦ A. Finnbogason
68′
70′
🔁 N. Nsingi
↦ J. Þorsteinsson
70′
🔁 S. Kiyine
↦ T. Vlietinck
70′
🔁 M. Maertens
↦ E. Banzuzi
T. Alloh 🔁
↦ Y. Van Genechten
75′
J. Déom 🔁
↦ A. Keita
75′
81′
S. Schrijvers 2–1
82′
🟨 Nachon Nsingi
I. Christie-Davies 🔁
↦ I. Nuhu
85′
3–1 Regan Charles-Cook
J. Déom
87′
92′
ℹ️ Ewoud Pletinckx
VAR: Goal cancelled
Jason Davidson 🟨
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Eupen

3-5-2
24 G. Słonina G
28 R. Paeshuyse D
4 V. Pálsson D
3 J. Davidson D
15 G. Magnée M
6 B. Baiye M
35 B. Lambert M
18 A. Keita M
2 Y. Van Genechten M
7 I. Nuhu F
27 A. Finnbogason F
Bench (7)
10 Regan Charles-Cook
29 T. Alloh
14 J. Déom
23 I. Christie-Davies
33 A. Nurudeen
25 A. Filin
21 J. Král

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-3-3
16 M. Prévot G
52 R. Sagrado D
28 E. Pletinckx D
14 F. Ricca D
18 F. Miguel D
6 J. Dom M
8 S. Schrijvers M
11 E. Banzuzi M
77 T. Vlietinck F
9 J. Braut Brunes F
7 J. Þorsteinsson F
Bench (7)
15 K. N’Dri
43 N. Nsingi
13 S. Kiyine
33 M. Maertens
1 T. Leysen
23 J. Schingtienne
3 R. Shlomo

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,96
U
3,68
B
2,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.