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Referee: E Lambrechts

Cercle Brugge

U S U T T

1–1

Full-time

Anderlecht

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Anderlecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 62%

60%

64%

Points per game

2,0

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

52%

72%

Both score Ø 62%

52%

72%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,34 xG 2,58

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cercle Brugge 4. · Anderlecht 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	26	17	5	4	+45	+36.4	56
2	St. Gilloise	25	17	3	5	+26	+27.6	54
3	Anderlecht	25	16	5	4	+24	+12.5	53
4	Cercle Brugge	25	15	4	6	+19	+8.6	49
5	Gent	25	13	7	5	+23	+16.5	46
6	Genk	25	12	8	5	+16	+25.9	44
7	Mechelen	26	12	6	8	+7	+3.5	42
8	Antwerp	25	11	7	7	+21	+16.4	40
9	St Truiden	26	7	8	11	-16	-13.5	29
10	Charleroi	28	7	8	13	-19	-13.0	29
11	Standard	26	5	12	9	-9	-10.6	27
12	RWD Molenbeek	27	6	7	14	-31	-31.9	25
13	Westerlo	26	5	8	13	-13	-11.7	23
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	26	5	8	13	-16	-10.3	23
15	Kortrijk	27	4	5	18	-37	-24.7	17
16	Eupen	28	4	3	21	-40	-31.5	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	13	11	1	1	+18	+10.5	34
2	Club Brugge	13	10	3	0	+30	+20.0	33
3	Gent	13	8	4	1	+18	+12.0	28
4	Cercle Brugge	12	8	2	2	+16	+8.4	26
5	St. Gilloise	12	8	2	2	+14	+13.6	26
6	Mechelen	13	7	4	2	+12	+8.7	25
7	Genk	13	7	4	2	+11	+17.8	25
8	Antwerp	12	6	3	3	+17	+13.4	21
9	St Truiden	13	5	4	4	-3	-0.1	19
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	5	3	5	+3	-3.5	18
11	Standard	13	4	5	4	+3	+2.0	17
12	Charleroi	14	4	5	5	-5	+1.0	17
13	RWD Molenbeek	13	4	4	5	-10	-12.3	16
14	Westerlo	13	4	3	6	-4	-3.5	15
15	Eupen	14	3	2	9	-14	-11.9	11
16	Kortrijk	14	2	3	9	-14	-8.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	9	1	3	+12	+14.0	28
2	Club Brugge	13	7	2	4	+15	+16.3	23
3	Cercle Brugge	13	7	2	4	+3	+0.2	23
4	Anderlecht	12	5	4	3	+6	+1.9	19
5	Genk	12	5	4	3	+5	+8.1	19
6	Antwerp	13	5	4	4	+4	+3.0	19
7	Gent	12	5	3	4	+5	+4.4	18
8	Mechelen	13	5	2	6	-5	-5.3	17
9	Charleroi	14	3	3	8	-14	-14.0	12
10	Standard	13	1	7	5	-12	-12.6	10
11	St Truiden	13	2	4	7	-13	-13.5	10
12	RWD Molenbeek	14	2	3	9	-21	-19.6	9
13	Westerlo	13	1	5	7	-9	-8.1	8
14	Kortrijk	13	2	2	9	-23	-16.3	8
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	0	5	8	-19	-6.8	5
16	Eupen	14	1	1	12	-26	-19.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.