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Pro League

Referee: J Lardot

Genk

S U S S U

2–1

Full-time

Anderlecht

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Anderlecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 22/23 matches

Win Ø 58%

50%

65%

Points per game

1,9

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

45%

70%

Both score Ø 62%

50%

74%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,06 xG 0,63

53% Possession 47%

22 Shots 9

10 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

4 Corners 3

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 5. · Anderlecht 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	23	16	3	4	+24	+25.6	51
2	Anderlecht	23	15	5	3	+22	+13.5	50
3	Cercle Brugge	23	15	4	4	+23	+10.8	49
4	Club Brugge	23	14	5	4	+37	+35.2	47
5	Genk	22	11	8	3	+22	+24.8	41
6	Gent	23	11	7	5	+20	+17.4	40
7	Mechelen	24	11	5	8	+4	+3.2	38
8	Antwerp	23	10	7	6	+23	+17.5	37
9	St Truiden	24	7	7	10	-14	-14.1	28
10	Standard	24	5	10	9	-9	-12.4	25
11	Charleroi	26	5	8	13	-21	-15.2	23
12	Westerlo	24	5	7	12	-12	-11.5	22
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	24	5	7	12	-13	-8.7	22
14	RWD Molenbeek	26	5	7	14	-33	-32.9	22
15	Kortrijk	26	4	5	17	-35	-23.7	17
16	Eupen	26	4	3	19	-38	-29.4	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	12	10	1	1	+15	+9.1	31
2	Club Brugge	12	9	3	0	+26	+19.0	30
3	Cercle Brugge	11	8	2	1	+17	+9.2	26
4	St. Gilloise	11	8	2	1	+15	+13.4	26
5	Gent	12	7	4	1	+17	+12.0	25
6	Genk	11	6	4	1	+13	+15.7	22
7	Mechelen	12	6	4	2	+9	+7.1	22
8	Antwerp	11	6	3	2	+20	+15.2	21
9	St Truiden	12	5	4	3	-1	-1.1	19
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	5	3	5	+3	-3.5	18
11	RWD Molenbeek	13	4	4	5	-10	-12.3	16
12	Standard	11	4	3	4	+3	+0.2	15
13	Westerlo	12	4	2	6	-4	-3.4	14
14	Charleroi	13	3	5	5	-6	-1.2	14
15	Eupen	13	3	2	8	-13	-11.9	11
16	Kortrijk	13	2	3	8	-12	-7.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	12	8	1	3	+9	+12.1	25
2	Cercle Brugge	12	7	2	3	+6	+1.6	23
3	Genk	11	5	4	2	+9	+9.1	19
4	Anderlecht	11	5	4	2	+7	+4.4	19
5	Club Brugge	11	5	2	4	+11	+16.2	17
6	Antwerp	12	4	4	4	+3	+2.3	16
7	Mechelen	12	5	1	6	-5	-3.9	16
8	Gent	11	4	3	4	+3	+5.4	15
9	Standard	13	1	7	5	-12	-12.6	10
10	St Truiden	12	2	3	7	-13	-13.1	9
11	Charleroi	13	2	3	8	-15	-13.9	9
12	Westerlo	12	1	5	6	-8	-8.1	8
13	Kortrijk	13	2	2	9	-23	-16.3	8
14	RWD Molenbeek	13	1	3	9	-23	-20.6	6
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	0	4	7	-16	-5.2	4
16	Eupen	13	1	1	11	-25	-17.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.