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2. Bundesliga

Referee: L Benen

Nurnberg

T U T T T

0–1

Full-time

Karlsruhe

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 37%

33%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

60%

70%

Both score Ø 60%

57%

63%

Average goals

3,1

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%

8 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 9

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 8

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 12. · Karlsruhe 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	31	18	9	4	+24	63
2	Holstein Kiel	31	19	4	8	+24	61
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	31	16	8	7	+29	56
4	Hamburg	31	15	7	9	+17	52
5	Karlsruhe	30	12	10	8	+16	46
6	Hannover	31	11	13	7	+14	46
7	Paderborn	31	13	7	11	-1	46
8	Hertha	31	12	9	10	+11	45
9	Greuther Furth	30	12	6	12	-3	42
10	Elversberg	31	11	7	13	-10	40
11	Schalke 04	31	10	7	14	-10	37
12	Nurnberg	30	10	7	13	-18	37
13	Magdeburg	30	9	9	12	-4	36
14	Braunschweig	31	10	4	17	-12	34
15	Kaiserslautern	31	9	6	16	-11	33
16	Wehen	30	8	8	14	-9	32
17	Hansa Rostock	31	9	4	18	-24	31
18	Osnabruck	30	5	9	16	-33	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	16	10	5	1	+18	35
2	Karlsruhe	16	9	5	2	+18	32
3	Hamburg	15	10	0	5	+13	30
4	Greuther Furth	15	9	3	3	+11	30
5	Schalke 04	16	8	4	4	+9	28
6	Holstein Kiel	16	9	1	6	+7	28
7	Hertha	16	7	6	3	+19	27
8	Hannover	15	7	6	2	+15	27
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	8	3	4	+8	27
10	Magdeburg	15	6	4	5	+4	22
11	Paderborn	16	6	4	6	+0	22
12	Braunschweig	16	6	4	6	-1	22
13	Kaiserslautern	15	6	2	7	-3	20
14	Hansa Rostock	15	6	2	7	-5	20
15	Elversberg	15	5	4	6	-4	19
16	Nurnberg	15	5	4	6	-8	19
17	Wehen	14	4	5	5	-3	17
18	Osnabruck	15	3	5	7	-10	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	15	10	3	2	+17	33
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	8	5	3	+21	29
3	St Pauli	15	8	4	3	+6	28
4	Paderborn	15	7	3	5	-1	24
5	Hamburg	16	5	7	4	+4	22
6	Elversberg	16	6	3	7	-6	21
7	Hannover	16	4	7	5	-1	19
8	Hertha	15	5	3	7	-8	18
9	Nurnberg	15	5	3	7	-10	18
10	Wehen	16	4	3	9	-6	15
11	Karlsruhe	14	3	5	6	-2	14
12	Magdeburg	15	3	5	7	-8	14
13	Kaiserslautern	16	3	4	9	-8	13
14	Braunschweig	15	4	0	11	-11	12
15	Greuther Furth	15	3	3	9	-14	12
16	Hansa Rostock	16	3	2	11	-19	11
17	Osnabruck	15	2	4	9	-23	10
18	Schalke 04	15	2	3	10	-19	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.