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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Genk
S S S S U
1–0
Full-time
Gent
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
3,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 68%
86%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
86%
50%
Both score Ø 62%
57%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 2. · Gent 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 9 9 0 0 +14 27
2 Genk 7 6 1 0 +16 19
3 Club Brugge 8 6 1 1 +13 19
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 5 2 2 +3 17
5 Charleroi 10 5 0 5 +0 15
6 Anderlecht 9 4 1 4 +5 13
7 St Truiden 9 3 4 2 +2 13
8 St. Gilloise 6 4 1 1 +2 13
9 Mechelen 10 3 2 5 +0 11
10 Gent 6 3 1 2 +3 10
11 Oostende 9 3 1 5 -3 10
12 Kortrijk 9 3 1 5 -5 10
13 Standard 5 3 0 2 -1 9
14 Waregem 10 2 2 6 -9 8
15 Westerlo 6 2 0 4 -5 6
16 Cercle Brugge 7 1 3 3 -6 6
17 Eupen 9 2 0 7 -9 6
18 Seraing 9 2 0 7 -10 6
19 Seraing United 9 2 0 7 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Gent
18′
🟨 Michael Ngadeu
37′
🔁 B. Godeau
↦ J. Torunarigha
Daniel Muñoz 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ A. Preciado
46′
N. Castro 🔁
↦ B. El Khannouss
67′
71′
🔁 A. Hjulsager
↦ Hong Hyun-Seok
74′
🟨 Bruno Godeau
A. Németh 🔁
↦ P. Onuachu
80′
Mark McKenzie 🟨
86′
1–0 B. Heynen
M. Trésor
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
8 B. Heynen M
17 P. Hrošovský M
77 A. Preciado M
34 B. El Khannouss M
11 M. Trésor M
18 P. Onuachu F
Bench (7)
7 M. Samatta
10 N. Castro
35 A. Németh
25 M. Galarza
4 A. Ouattara
40 T. Leysen
22 R. Carstensen

Coach: W. Vrancken

Gent

3-4-1-2
33 D. Roef G
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
5 M. Ngadeu D
23 J. Torunarigha D
18 M. Samoise M
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
14 A. Castro-Montes M
7 Hong Hyun-Seok F
29 L. Depoitre F
11 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
31 B. Godeau
17 A. Hjulsager
25 Núrio Fortuna
19 M. Fofana
16 I. Salah
6 E. Owusu
1 P. Nardi

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,19
U
3,58
B
3,04
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.