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Pro League
Referee: M Allaerts
RWD Molenbeek
U S U T U
1–1
Full-time
Westerlo
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RWD Molenbeek Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 9/7 matches
Win Ø 24%
33%
14%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
56%
71%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
57%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
2,0
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,60 xG 1,10
53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RWD Molenbeek 7. · Westerlo 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 7 6 0 1 +11 +7.9 18
2 Anderlecht 6 5 1 0 +7 +2.1 16
3 Cercle Brugge 7 5 0 2 +5 +5.7 15
4 Club Brugge 9 4 2 3 +11 +13.3 14
5 Antwerp 7 3 4 0 +12 +8.8 13
6 Gent 6 3 3 0 +3 +2.2 12
7 RWD Molenbeek 9 3 3 3 -8 -7.1 12
8 Standard 7 2 3 2 +1 -5.8 9
9 Mechelen 6 2 2 2 +2 -3.0 8
10 Kortrijk 9 2 2 5 -10 -1.9 8
11 Genk 6 1 4 1 +3 +7.5 7
12 Eupen 10 2 1 7 -14 -15.4 7
13 St Truiden 7 1 3 3 -6 -5.5 6
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 1 2 4 -5 +1.8 5
15 Westerlo 7 1 2 4 -5 -4.8 5
16 Charleroi 8 0 4 4 -7 -5.8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RWD Molenbeek Westerlo
Half-time 0–0
Pathé Mboup 🟨
52′
1–0 F. Da Silva
I. Camara
65′
72′
🟨 Lucas Stassin
73′
🔁 M. Frigan
↦ L. Stassin
73′
🔁 N. Madsen
↦ D. Haspolat
73′
🔁 G. Yow
↦ R. Neustädter
Rikelmi 🔁
↦ P. Mboup
76′
S. Abe 🔁
↦ F. Da Silva
76′
77′
🔁 J. Bos
↦ T. Rommens
X. Mercier 🔁
↦ J. Reine-Adélaïde
83′
N. Dailly 🔁
↦ I. Camara
83′
87′
🔁 T. Van den Keybus
↦ Y. Matsuo
Xavier Mercier 🟨
89′
91′
🟨 Serhiy Sydorchuk
94′
G. Yow 1–1
T. Van den Keybus
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

RWD Molenbeek

3-4-1-2
33 T. Defourny G
19 J. Heris D
44 M. Sissako D
2 L. Segovia D
17 I. Camara M
6 P. Dwomoh M
69 F. Da Silva M
26 Abner M
77 J. Reine-Adélaïde F
47 P. Mboup F
9 M. Gueye F
Bench (7)
27 Rikelmi
8 S. Abe
30 X. Mercier
11 N. Dailly
15 S. Diallo
1 N. Alavoine
4 William Klaus

Coach: Cláudio Caçapa

Westerlo

3-4-1-2
1 S. Bolat G
40 E. Bayram D
33 R. Neustädter D
24 R. Tagir D
32 E. Jordanov M
6 D. Haspolat M
15 S. Sydorchuk M
25 T. Rommens M
79 Y. Matsuo F
76 L. Stassin F
21 E. Daci F
Bench (7)
9 M. Frigan
8 N. Madsen
18 G. Yow
5 J. Bos
39 T. Van den Keybus
2 P. Perdichizzi
20 N. Gillekens

Coach: J. De Roeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,29
U ✓
3,60
B
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,19
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Allaerts · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.