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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
Westerlo
U S U S S
3–1
Full-time
Kortrijk
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 23/30 matches
Win Ø 35%
39%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
57%
60%
Both score Ø 61%
61%
60%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,9
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Westerlo 13. · Kortrijk 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 25 20 4 1 +45 64
2 St. Gilloise 24 18 3 3 +25 57
3 Antwerp 23 16 4 3 +29 52
4 Charleroi 30 13 5 12 +1 44
5 Gent 23 13 3 7 +17 42
6 Club Brugge 23 12 6 5 +15 42
7 Anderlecht 29 12 6 11 +10 42
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 31 11 9 11 +7 42
9 Cercle Brugge 24 10 9 5 +8 39
10 St Truiden 30 10 9 11 -4 39
11 Mechelen 30 10 6 14 -12 36
12 Standard 23 10 4 9 +1 34
13 Westerlo 23 9 6 8 +4 33
14 Kortrijk 30 9 6 15 -16 33
15 Eupen 30 8 5 17 -21 29
16 Waregem 30 6 9 15 -22 27
17 Oostende 30 6 6 18 -29 24
18 Seraing 28 5 4 19 -29 19
19 Seraing United 28 5 4 19 -29 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Westerlo Kortrijk
Thomas Van den Keybus 🟨
22′
Mathias Fixelles 🟨
24′
28′
🟨 João Silva
31′
🔁 A. Kadri
↦ F. Selemani
36′
🟨 Abdelkahar Kadri
Half-time 0–1
0–1 T. Watanabe
own goal
49′
Nacer Chadli ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
52′
N. Dorgeles 🔁
↦ T. Van den Keybus
58′
58′
🔁 B. Messaoudi
↦ N. Mehssatou
1–1 K. Vaesen
60′
63′
M. Bruno 1–2
João Silva
Bryan Reynolds 🟨
68′
Y. Matsuo 🔁
↦ N. Chadli
71′
71′
🔁 D. Mbayo
↦ D. De Neve
71′
🔁 C. Atemona
↦ João Silva
71′
🔁 P. Guèye
↦ M. Regáli
2–2 K. Vaesen
N. Dorgeles
73′
R. Tagir 🔁
↦ K. Vaesen
78′
Igor Vetokele 🔁
↦ M. Fixelles
78′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Westerlo

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bolat G
22 B. Reynolds D
33 R. Neustädter D
2 P. Perdichizzi D
11 M. De Cuyper D
7 L. Van Eenoo M
8 N. Madsen M
4 M. Fixelles M
5 N. Chadli M
39 T. Van den Keybus M
14 K. Vaesen F
Bench (7)
45 N. Dorgeles
79 Y. Matsuo
24 R. Tagir
25 Igor Vetokele
55 T. Dierckx
32 E. Jordanov
20 N. Gillekens

Coach: J. De Roeck

Kortrijk

3-4-1-2
1 T. Vandenberghe G
44 João Silva D
4 T. Watanabe D
21 M. Wasinski D
23 D. De Neve M
70 M. Bruno M
25 N. Mehssatou M
30 K. D'Haene M
10 F. Selemani F
20 F. Avenatti F
29 M. Regáli F
Bench (7)
18 A. Kadri
9 B. Messaoudi
7 D. Mbayo
5 C. Atemona
17 P. Guèye
33 S. Lončar
16 M. Deman

Coach: B. Storck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,67
U
4,05
B
4,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,30
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.