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Pro League
Referee: B Staessens
St. Gilloise
S S S S T
3–0
Full-time
Kortrijk
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 8/10 matches
Win Ø 54%
88%
20%
Points per game
2,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
88%
60%
Both score Ø 52%
63%
40%
Average goals
4,1
2,9
Scored
2,9
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,98 xG 0,48
51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
6 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 1. · Kortrijk 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 8 7 0 1 +13 +9.6 21
2 Cercle Brugge 9 7 0 2 +9 +8.0 21
3 Anderlecht 9 6 2 1 +10 +4.1 20
4 Antwerp 9 4 4 1 +17 +11.1 16
5 Genk 9 4 4 1 +12 +12.5 16
6 Gent 9 4 4 1 +3 +2.3 16
7 Club Brugge 9 4 2 3 +11 +13.3 14
8 RWD Molenbeek 11 3 4 4 -9 -7.7 13
9 Standard 9 3 3 3 -4 -10.1 12
10 Mechelen 9 3 2 4 -3 -2.0 11
11 St Truiden 9 2 4 3 -5 -4.7 10
12 Kortrijk 10 2 2 6 -13 -3.5 8
13 Eupen 11 2 2 7 -14 -16.2 8
14 Charleroi 11 1 4 6 -9 -8.6 7
15 Westerlo 9 1 3 5 -7 -5.9 6
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 1 2 6 -11 -2.2 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Kortrijk
6′
🟨 Abdelkahar Kadri
Fedde Leysen 🟨
14′
Loic Lapoussin 🟨
23′
N. Sadiki 🔁
↦ C. Vanhoutte
36′
1–0 K. Rodríguez
45′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 K. Rodríguez
Cameron Puertas
49′
3–0 L. Lapoussin
Cameron Puertas
54′
62′
🔁 M. Bruno
↦ A. Mighten
62′
🔁 F. Avenatti
↦ D. Henen
63′
🔁 I. Davies
↦ M. El Idrissy
E. Kabangu 🔁
↦ L. Amani
65′
D. Eckert Ayensa 🔁
↦ K. Rodríguez
65′
H. Teklab 🔁
↦ L. Lapoussin
66′
76′
🔁 A. Sissako
↦ A. Kadri
K. Mac Allister 🔁
↦ C. Terho
82′
82′
🔁 D. Mbayo
↦ S. Ojo
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-4-2-1
49 A. Moris G
26 R. Sykes D
28 K. Machida D
48 F. Leysen D
17 C. Terho M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
4 M. Rasmussen M
10 L. Lapoussin M
8 L. Amani F
23 Cameron Puertas F
13 K. Rodríguez F
Bench (7)
27 N. Sadiki
7 E. Kabangu
9 D. Eckert Ayensa
11 H. Teklab
5 K. Mac Allister
14 J. Imbrechts
21 A. Castro-Montes

Coach: A. Blessin

Kortrijk

3-4-2-1
1 T. Vandenberghe G
4 M. Mampassi D
44 João Silva D
16 M. Kana D
99 M. El Idrissy M
10 A. Kadri M
6 N. Mehssatou M
11 D. De Neve M
77 D. Henen F
23 A. Mighten F
54 S. Ojo F
Bench (7)
70 M. Bruno
20 F. Avenatti
39 I. Davies
27 A. Sissako
7 D. Mbayo
21 M. Wasinski
95 L. Pirard

Coach: J. Akpala

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,20
U
6,84
B
12,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Staessens · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.