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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Kortrijk
U T U S S
4–1
Full-time
Westerlo
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
40%
0%
Points per game
1,6
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 80%
80%
80%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,6
2,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3 Corners 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 6. · Westerlo 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 5 3 1 1 +4 10
2 Charleroi 4 3 1 0 +3 10
3 Waregem 4 3 0 1 +5 9
4 Anderlecht 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 Mechelen 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Kortrijk 5 2 2 1 -2 8
7 Gent 3 2 1 0 +3 7
8 Club Brugge 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Eupen 6 2 1 3 -4 7
10 Standard 5 1 3 1 +1 6
11 Oostende 4 2 0 2 +0 6
12 Lokeren 5 2 0 3 -1 6
13 Beveren 6 1 2 3 -3 5
14 St Truiden 5 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 5 1 0 4 -3 3
16 Westerlo 5 0 1 4 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Westerlo
1–0 I. Saadi
X. Mercier
1′
Xavier Mercier 🟨
14′
2–0 I. Saadi
A. Totovytsky
16′
3–0 H. Kage
44′
Half-time 3–0
50′
🟨 Robin Henkens
4–0 H. Kage
X. Mercier
51′
58′
🔁 E. Lanini
↦ K. Hyland
58′
🔁 N. Rommens
↦ R. Henkens
K. D'Haene 🔁
↦ A. Totovytsky
62′
63′
🔁 K. Schuermans
↦ F. Daems
L. Rougeaux 🔁
↦ N. Pavlović
73′
G. De Mets 🔁
↦ B. Verstraete
80′
86′
K. Schuermans 4–1
N. Rommens
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Kortrijk

28 T. Kaminski G
23 Joãozinho D
15 R. Métanire D
20 S. Gigot D
8 N. Pavlović M
10 H. Kage F
25 X. Mercier M
26 E. Rolland M
5 B. Verstraete M
29 A. Totovytsky M
11 I. Saadi F
Bench (7)
30 K. D'Haene
24 L. Rougeaux
17 G. De Mets
9 A. Papazoglou
13 M. Sifakis
88 S. Sarr
39 L. Veldwijk

Coach: B. Van Lancker

Westerlo

30 K. Van Langendonck G
3 F. Daems D
19 D. Christensen M
2 M. Apau D
73 N. Miletić D
24 M. Heylen D
29 Y. Buyens M
6 R. Henkens M
11 K. Hyland M
33 M. Manias F
9 E. Acolatse F
Bench (7)
7 E. Lanini
28 N. Rommens
17 K. Schuermans
1 K. Van Hout
16 J. Mustoe
18 D. Heymans
23 J. Molenberghs

Coach: B. Peeters

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.