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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Kortrijk
T S T T U
0–2
Full-time
Westerlo
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,8
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
2,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 14/11 matches
Win Ø 33%
29%
36%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
57%
64%
Both score Ø 56%
57%
55%
Average goals
2,6
3,8
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,6
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
6 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 14. · Westerlo 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 12 11 1 0 +25 34
2 Antwerp 13 11 0 2 +15 33
3 Club Brugge 13 9 1 3 +15 28
4 St. Gilloise 11 9 1 1 +14 28
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13 6 2 5 +0 20
6 Anderlecht 14 6 1 7 +7 19
7 Charleroi 15 6 1 8 -4 19
8 Cercle Brugge 12 5 3 4 +2 18
9 Standard 11 6 0 5 +0 18
10 Gent 10 5 1 4 +7 16
11 St Truiden 13 4 4 5 -3 16
12 Mechelen 14 4 2 8 -6 14
13 Westerlo 11 4 2 5 -6 14
14 Kortrijk 14 4 2 8 -10 14
15 Waregem 14 4 2 8 -11 14
16 Oostende 14 3 3 8 -12 12
17 Eupen 14 4 0 10 -15 12
18 Seraing 13 3 2 8 -9 11
19 Seraing United 13 3 2 8 -9 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Westerlo
Pape Habib Gueye ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
25′
Pape Habib Gueye 🟥
26′
30′
🟨 Bryan Reynolds
Half-time 0–1
48′
N. Madsen 0–1
S. Lončar 🔁
↦ B. Messaoudi
61′
62′
🔁 N. Dorgeles
↦ N. Chadli
69′
🔁 Igor Vetokele
↦ M. Fixelles
70′
🔁 T. Dierckx
↦ H. Akbunar
74′
🟨 Lucas Mineiro
João Silva 🔁
↦ D. Dessoleil
76′
D. Mbayo 🔁
↦ K. Vandendriessche
76′
78′
🔁 R. Neustädter
↦ Lucas Mineiro
83′
N. Dorgeles 0–2
N. Madsen
Luqman Hakim Shamsudin 🔁
↦ F. Avenatti
88′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Kortrijk

4-4-2
31 M. Ilić G
6 O. Sych D
4 T. Watanabe D
24 D. Dessoleil D
30 K. D'Haene D
9 B. Messaoudi M
26 K. Vandendriessche M
12 H. Keïta M
22 D. Lamkel Zé M
20 F. Avenatti F
17 P. Guèye F
Bench (7)
33 S. Lončar
44 João Silva
7 D. Mbayo
99 Luqman Hakim Shamsudin
25 N. Mehssatou
70 M. Bruno
1 T. Vandenberghe

Coach: A. Čustović

Westerlo

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bolat G
22 B. Reynolds D
23 R. Seigers D
2 P. Perdichizzi D
11 M. De Cuyper D
6 Lucas Mineiro M
8 N. Madsen M
35 H. Akbunar M
5 N. Chadli M
4 M. Fixelles M
9 L. Foster F
Bench (7)
45 N. Dorgeles
25 Igor Vetokele
55 T. Dierckx
33 R. Neustädter
30 K. Van Langendonck
17 M. Gümüşkaya
32 E. Jordanov

Coach: J. De Roeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,89
U
3,57
B ✓
2,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.