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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

Westerlo

U S T S S

4–3

Full-time

St. Gilloise

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo St. Gilloise

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

0,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

3,72 xG 2,40

45% Possession 55%

24 Shots 14

9 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 15

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Westerlo 5. · St. Gilloise 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.3	7
2	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.7	4
3	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.7	4
4	Standard	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.0	4
5	Westerlo	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
6	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.6	3
7	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
8	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
9	Gent	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.5	3
10	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
11	Club Brugge	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.6	1
12	Genk	2	0	1	1	-2	+2.8	1
13	Beerschot VA	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.7	1
14	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0
15	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.2	0
16	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.3	4
2	Westerlo	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
3	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.1	3
4	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
5	Standard	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
6	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
7	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
8	Genk	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
9	Beerschot VA	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
10	Gent	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
11	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
12	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
13	St Truiden	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.7	3
2	Dender	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
3	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
4	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
5	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
6	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
8	St. Gilloise	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
9	Club Brugge	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
10	St Truiden	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
11	Genk	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.1	0
12	Beerschot VA	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
13	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0
14	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.