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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

Dender

T U T T S

1–2

Full-time

Waregem

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Waregem

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 20%

12%

28%

Points per game

0,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

52%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,96 xG 3,69

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 24

5 Shots on target 9

5 Blocked shots 10

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dender 16. · Waregem 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	22	18	1	3	+23	+10.7	55
2	St. Gilloise	22	15	7	0	+28	+22.6	52
3	St Truiden	22	13	2	7	+10	+14.4	41
4	Mechelen	22	10	8	4	+10	-6.8	38
5	Gent	21	11	3	7	+6	+3.9	36
6	Genk	21	9	6	6	+5	+5.9	33
7	Cercle Brugge	26	8	7	11	-2	+0.3	31
8	Anderlecht	22	8	6	8	+3	+2.9	30
9	Westerlo	22	7	7	8	-4	+2.1	28
10	Antwerp	22	7	5	10	+0	-4.2	26
11	Standard	22	7	5	10	-12	-9.5	26
12	Waregem	25	7	4	14	-10	-7.3	25
13	Charleroi	22	6	4	12	-7	-4.0	22
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	22	5	7	10	-11	-6.0	22
15	RAAL La Louviere	26	4	10	12	-13	-10.0	22
16	Dender	25	3	6	16	-26	-15.2	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	11	11	0	0	+22	+12.4	33
2	Club Brugge	11	8	1	2	+10	+4.2	25
3	St Truiden	11	7	0	4	+1	+6.9	21
4	Gent	10	6	1	3	+8	+1.2	19
5	Genk	11	5	3	3	+4	+6.7	18
6	Waregem	13	5	2	6	-1	-0.7	17
7	Anderlecht	11	4	4	3	+7	+6.3	16
8	Mechelen	11	4	4	3	+2	-2.9	16
9	Antwerp	11	4	3	4	+1	-0.3	15
10	Westerlo	11	4	3	4	+1	+3.4	15
11	Charleroi	11	3	3	5	-2	-1.9	12
12	RAAL La Louviere	13	2	6	5	-5	-2.9	12
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	2	4	5	-2	-1.4	10
14	Cercle Brugge	13	2	3	8	-7	+0.3	9
15	Standard	11	1	5	5	-8	-3.3	8
16	Dender	12	1	2	9	-16	-6.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	11	10	0	1	+13	+6.5	30
2	Mechelen	11	6	4	1	+8	-3.9	22
3	Cercle Brugge	13	6	4	3	+5	+0.0	22
4	St Truiden	11	6	2	3	+9	+7.5	20
5	St. Gilloise	11	4	7	0	+6	+10.2	19
6	Standard	11	6	0	5	-4	-6.2	18
7	Gent	11	5	2	4	-2	+2.8	17
8	Genk	10	4	3	3	+1	-0.8	15
9	Anderlecht	11	4	2	5	-4	-3.3	14
10	Westerlo	11	3	4	4	-5	-1.3	13
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	3	3	5	-9	-4.6	12
12	Antwerp	11	3	2	6	-1	-3.9	11
13	Charleroi	11	3	1	7	-5	-2.1	10
14	RAAL La Louviere	13	2	4	7	-8	-7.1	10
15	Dender	13	2	4	7	-10	-9.2	10
16	Waregem	12	2	2	8	-9	-6.6	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.