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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Waregem
T T T T S
2–2
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
54%
Both score Ø 61%
58%
63%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,83 xG 1,77
54% Possession 46%
6 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 10. · Cercle Brugge 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 20 16 1 3 +20 +9.0 49
2 St. Gilloise 20 13 7 0 +26 +19.5 46
3 St Truiden 20 13 2 5 +12 +15.7 41
4 Mechelen 20 10 7 3 +11 -4.3 37
5 Gent 19 11 2 6 +8 +3.3 35
6 Genk 20 9 5 6 +5 +5.8 32
7 Anderlecht 20 7 6 7 +3 +4.7 27
8 Cercle Brugge 24 7 6 11 -5 -1.9 27
9 Antwerp 21 7 5 9 +1 -3.7 26
10 Waregem 24 7 3 14 -10 -7.3 24
11 Standard 20 6 5 9 -13 -9.8 23
12 Westerlo 20 5 7 8 -7 +0.2 22
13 RAAL La Louviere 24 4 10 10 -9 -9.5 22
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 20 5 6 9 -9 -4.8 21
15 Charleroi 20 5 4 11 -6 -3.4 19
16 Dender 24 2 6 16 -27 -13.5 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Cercle Brugge
Enrique Lofolomo 🟨
16′
Marley Aké 🟨
26′
28′
E. Diop 0–1
Nazinho
Half-time 0–1
51′
🟨 Edan Diop
57′
🔁 D. Vanzeir
↦ L. Agyekum
Y. Cappelle 🔁
↦ D. Asare
58′
W. Paugain 🔁
↦ B. Nyssen
58′
1–1 L. Lemoine
E. Lofolomo
59′
65′
🔁 I. Diakite
↦ E. Kakou
65′
🔁 I. Diaby
↦ P. Gerkens
71′
O. Diakite 1–2
M. Mbaye 🔁
↦ J. Kiilerich
76′
2–2 M. Mbaye
J. Erenbjerg
77′
83′
🔁 O. Adewumi
↦ E. Diop
83′
🔁 S. Ngoura
↦ O. Diakite
B. De Jaegere 🔁
↦ A. Ementa
86′
89′
🟨 Flávio Nazinho
92′
🟨 Hannes Van Der Bruggen
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Waregem

3-4-1-2
13 B. Gabriel G
4 L. Lemoine D
5 J. Kiilerich D
31 L. Willen D
19 B. Nyssen M
40 D. Asare M
6 E. Lofolomo M
39 M. Ake M
10 J. Erenbjerg F
18 A. Ementa F
22 J. Opoku F
Bench (9)
1 L. Bostyn
9 J. Vossen
55 Y. Cappelle
45 B. De Jaegere
20 T. Hedl
11 S. Gavriel
36 S. Ujka
30 M. Mbaye
12 W. Paugain

Coach: Steve Colpaert

Cercle Brugge

3-4-2-1
1 Warleson G
5 E. Kakou D
24 G. Kondo D
12 K. Valy D
15 G. Magnee M
28 H. van der Bruggen M
18 P. Gerkens M
20 Nazinho M
6 L. Agyekum F
37 E. Diop F
10 O. Diakite F
Bench (9)
21 M. Delanghe
27 N. De Wilde
17 O. Adewumi
2 I. Diakite
41 K. Kouassi
33 R. Caicedo
13 D. Vanzeir
9 S. Ngoura
19 I. Diaby

Coach: Lars Friis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,27
U ✓
3,53
B
2,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,21
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.