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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Willem II

T S U T T

2–2

Full-time

Heerenveen

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 11%

11%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

44%

33%

Both score Ø 56%

44%

67%

Average goals

2,1

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

7 Shots 23

4 Shots on target 9

0 Blocked shots 5

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

6 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 16. · Heerenveen 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+17	22
2	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+10	22
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	5	3	1	+11	18
4	Heracles	9	6	0	3	+8	18
5	Vitesse	9	5	2	2	+15	17
6	Zwolle	9	5	2	2	+3	17
7	Roda	9	3	4	2	+0	13
8	Nijmegen	9	4	1	4	+0	13
9	Groningen	9	4	1	4	-4	13
10	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Utrecht	9	2	4	3	-1	10
12	Excelsior	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Twente	9	2	3	4	-6	9
14	Den Haag	9	1	4	4	-6	7
15	Heerenveen	9	1	4	4	-7	7
16	Willem II	9	1	3	5	-5	6
17	Cambuur	9	0	5	4	-16	5
18	De Graafschap	9	0	2	7	-15	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Groningen	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Vitesse	4	4	0	0	+14	12
3	Heracles	5	4	0	1	+6	12
4	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+6	12
5	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Zwolle	5	3	1	1	+1	10
7	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+8	9
8	Nijmegen	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Utrecht	5	2	3	0	+3	9
10	Roda	5	2	3	0	+3	9
11	Excelsior	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Twente	4	2	1	1	-1	7
14	Heerenveen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
15	Willem II	4	1	1	2	+0	4
16	Den Haag	5	0	4	1	-1	4
17	Cambuur	5	0	2	3	-13	2
18	De Graafschap	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Feyenoord	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	PSV Eindhoven	5	2	2	1	+6	8
4	Zwolle	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Heracles	4	2	0	2	+2	6
6	Vitesse	5	1	2	2	+1	5
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Roda	4	1	1	2	-3	4
9	Nijmegen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
10	Cambuur	4	0	3	1	-3	3
11	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-5	3
12	Twente	5	0	2	3	-5	2
13	Willem II	5	0	2	3	-5	2
14	Excelsior	5	0	2	3	-6	2
15	Utrecht	4	0	1	3	-4	1
16	Heerenveen	4	0	1	3	-6	1
17	De Graafschap	5	0	1	4	-9	1
18	Groningen	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.