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DFB-Pokal
Referee: M Jöllenbeck
0–5
Full-time
Bayern Munich
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

23% Possession 77%
3 Shots 28
1 Shots on target 18
2 Blocked shots 4
13 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +10 3
2 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +8 3
5 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Sandhausen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Bochum 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Darmstadt 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Nurnberg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Stuttgarter Kickers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Elversberg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Werder Bremen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 VfB Lubeck 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Braunschweig 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Hertha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Regensburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 FC Koln 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Waldhof Mannheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Holstein Kiel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Straelen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Kaiserslautern 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Chemnitzer FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Dresden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Bayreuth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Kaan-Marienborn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Illertissen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Greuther Furth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 SV Rodinghausen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Kickers Offenbach 1 0 0 1 -3 0
49 TSV 1860 Munich 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 Viktoria Berlin 1 0 0 1 -3 0
51 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -3 0
52 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -3 0
53 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 1 0 0 1 -4 0
55 BW Lohne 1 0 0 1 -4 0
56 Magdeburg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
57 Bremer Sv 1 0 0 1 -5 0
58 FV Engers 07 1 0 0 1 -6 0
59 Oberachern 1 0 0 1 -8 0
60 Neustrelitz 1 0 0 1 -8 0
61 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
62 Einheit Wernigerode 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Viktoria Koln Bayern Munich
35′
R. Gravenberch 0–1
Half-time 0–2
46′
M. Tel 0–2
R. Gravenberch
53′
S. Mané 0–3
S. Gnabry
D. Buballa 🔁
↦ C. Greger
61′
F. Heister 🔁
↦ M. Risse
61′
S. Stehle 🔁
↦ R. Meißner
61′
63′
🔁 L. Sané
↦ M. Tel
63′
🔁 J. Musiala
↦ S. Mané
67′
J. Musiala 0–4
T. Müller
68′
🔁 E. Choupo-Moting
↦ T. Müller
68′
🔁 L. Goretzka
↦ J. Kimmich
F. Palacios 🔁
↦ N. May
78′
D. Philipp 🔁
↦ P. Sontheimer
78′
80′
🔁 M. Sabitzer
↦ R. Gravenberch
82′
L. Goretzka 0–5
L. Sané
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

FC Viktoria Koln

4-3-3
1 B. Voll G
28 P. Koronkiewicz D
20 J. Siebert D
15 C. Greger D
37 N. May D
26 H. Saghiri M
23 M. Fritz M
6 P. Sontheimer M
31 M. Risse F
14 R. Meißner F
7 S. Handle F
Bench (9)
5 D. Buballa
17 F. Heister
19 S. Stehle
11 F. Palacios
10 D. Philipp
18 K. Lankford
34 B. Hemcke
39 D. Kubatta
25 E. Bördner

Coach: O. Janßen

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
26 S. Ulreich G
40 N. Mazraoui D
4 M. de Ligt D
21 L. Hernández D
44 J. Stanišić D
6 J. Kimmich M
38 R. Gravenberch M
7 S. Gnabry M
25 T. Müller M
39 M. Tel M
17 S. Mané F
Bench (9)
10 L. Sané
42 J. Musiala
13 E. Choupo-Moting
8 L. Goretzka
18 M. Sabitzer
11 K. Coman
2 D. Upamecano
19 A. Davies
1 M. Neuer

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Jöllenbeck · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.