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La Liga
Referee: Carlos del Cerro
Cadiz
S T T T T
0–4
Full-time
Barcelona
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,3
2,7
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+2,0
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 13%
0%
25%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,0
2,8
Conceded
2,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-2,5
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%
6 Shots 16
0 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 6
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 20. · Barcelona 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 4 4 0 0 +7 12
2 Barcelona 4 3 1 0 +10 10
3 Villarreal 4 3 1 0 +9 10
4 Betis 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Osasuna 4 3 0 1 +3 9
6 Ath Bilbao 4 2 1 1 +4 7
7 Ath Madrid 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Celta 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Girona 5 2 1 2 +1 7
10 Vallecano 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Sociedad 4 2 1 1 -1 7
12 Valencia 5 2 0 3 +2 6
13 Mallorca 4 1 2 1 +1 5
14 Almeria 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Espanol 5 1 1 3 -4 4
16 Sevilla 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Valladolid 5 1 1 3 -7 4
18 Elche 4 0 1 3 -8 1
19 Getafe 4 0 1 3 -9 1
20 Cadiz 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Barcelona
16′
🟨 Raphinha
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Sergio Busquets
55′
F. de Jong 0–1
56′
🟨 Gerard Piqué
57′
🔁 R. Lewandowski
↦ M. Depay
57′
🔁 Pedri
↦ Gavi
57′
🔁 O. Dembélé
↦ Ferran Torres
T. Alarcón 🔁
↦ Álex
59′
T. Bongonda 🔁
↦ Alejo
60′
65′
R. Lewandowski 0–2
Álvaro Negredo 🔁
↦ Sobrino
72′
A. Mabil 🔁
↦ Lucas Pérez
72′
Rubén Alcaraz 🔁
↦ Fede
72′
72′
🔁 Ansu Fati
↦ Raphinha
78′
🔁 Marcos Alonso
↦ Balde
86′
Ansu Fati 0–3
R. Lewandowski
92′
O. Dembélé 0–4
R. Lewandowski
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-2-3-1
1 J. Ledesma G
2 Zaldúa D
23 Luis Hernández D
5 M. Mbaye D
22 A. Espino D
8 Álex M
24 Fede M
11 Alejo M
7 Sobrino M
14 B. Ocampo M
15 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (12)
12 T. Alarcón
10 T. Bongonda
18 Álvaro Negredo
17 A. Mabil
4 Rubén Alcaraz
6 José Mari
20 Isaac Carcelén
21 S. Arzamendia
19 Álvaro Giménez
32 Víctor Chust
3 Fali Jiménez
13 David Gil

Coach: Sergio

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
2 Héctor Bellerín D
4 R. Araújo D
3 Piqué D
28 Balde D
21 F. de Jong M
5 Sergio Busquets M
30 Gavi M
22 Raphinha F
14 M. Depay F
11 Ferran Torres F
Bench (12)
9 R. Lewandowski
8 Pedri
7 O. Dembélé
10 Ansu Fati
17 Marcos Alonso
23 J. Koundé
36 Arnau Tenas
18 Jordi Alba
15 A. Christensen
19 F. Kessie
24 Eric García
26 Iñaki Peña

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
13,05
U
6,27
B ✓
1,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,35
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.