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Premier League

Referee: A Taylor

Wolves

T S U U S

0–3

Full-time

Man City

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Man City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,2

4,5

Scored

0,7

3,3

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,2

This season — Premier League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,2

4,3

Scored

0,5

3,3

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

41% Possession 59%

6 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolves 15. · Man City 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	6	5	0	1	+7	15
2	Man City	6	4	2	0	+14	14
3	Tottenham	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Brighton	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Man United	6	4	0	2	+0	12
6	Fulham	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Chelsea	6	3	1	2	-1	10
8	Liverpool	6	2	3	1	+9	9
9	Brentford	6	2	3	1	+6	9
10	Leeds	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Newcastle	6	1	4	1	+1	7
12	Southampton	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Aston Villa	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Bournemouth	6	2	1	3	-13	7
15	Wolves	6	1	3	2	-1	6
16	Crystal Palace	6	1	3	2	-2	6
17	Everton	6	0	4	2	-2	4
18	West Ham	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Nott'm Forest	7	1	1	5	-11	4
20	Leicester	6	0	1	5	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Tottenham	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Arsenal	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Liverpool	3	2	1	0	+10	7
5	Brentford	3	2	1	0	+7	7
6	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Leeds	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Fulham	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Chelsea	3	2	1	0	+2	7
10	Aston Villa	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Man United	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Newcastle	3	1	2	0	+2	5
13	Wolves	3	1	2	0	+1	5
14	Southampton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Bournemouth	3	1	1	1	-1	4
17	Nott'm Forest	4	1	0	3	-3	3
18	Everton	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Leicester	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	West Ham	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Brighton	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Man United	3	2	0	1	-2	6
4	Man City	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Tottenham	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Fulham	4	1	1	2	-1	4
7	West Ham	3	1	0	2	-1	3
8	Chelsea	3	1	0	2	-3	3
9	Southampton	4	1	0	3	-4	3
10	Bournemouth	3	1	0	2	-12	3
11	Brentford	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Liverpool	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Everton	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Newcastle	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Crystal Palace	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Wolves	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Leeds	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-8	1
19	Aston Villa	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Leicester	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.