Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Udinese
Inter
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +9 | 14 |
| 2 |
Atalanta
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |
Milan
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 4 |
Udinese
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 5 |
Roma
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 |
Inter
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 7 |
Lazio
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |
Juventus
|
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 9 |
Torino
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |
Spezia
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |
Salernitana
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 13 |
Empoli
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |
Fiorentina
|
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |
Lecce
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |
Bologna
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |
Verona
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 |
Cremonese
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 19 |
Sampdoria
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 2 |
| 20 |
Monza
|
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Bijol
D
N. Pérez
D
S. Lovrić
M
J. Makengo
M
D. Udogie
M
Beto
F
Coach: A. Sottil
M. Škriniar
D
A. Bastoni
D
D. Dumfries
M
N. Barella
M
H. Mkhitaryan
M
E. Džeko
F
Lautaro Martínez
F
Coach: S. Inzaghi
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sassuolo
Udinese
Udinese
Roma
Udinese
Fiorentina
Monza
Udinese
Udinese
Salernitana
P Valeri · 55 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.