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La Liga
Referee: Javier Iglesias
Mallorca
U T S T U
0–1
Full-time
Sevilla
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
25%
13%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 12. · Sevilla 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 8 7 1 0 +19 22
2 Real Madrid 8 7 1 0 +12 22
3 Ath Bilbao 8 5 2 1 +12 17
4 Ath Madrid 8 5 1 2 +7 16
5 Betis 8 5 1 2 +5 16
6 Sociedad 8 5 1 2 +2 16
7 Valencia 9 4 2 3 +6 14
8 Osasuna 8 4 1 3 +1 13
9 Villarreal 8 3 3 2 +7 12
10 Vallecano 9 3 2 4 -2 11
11 Celta 8 3 1 4 -5 10
12 Mallorca 8 2 3 3 -2 9
13 Girona 9 2 2 5 -3 8
14 Valladolid 8 2 2 4 -7 8
15 Getafe 9 2 2 5 -8 8
16 Almeria 8 2 1 5 -5 7
17 Espanol 8 1 3 4 -5 6
18 Sevilla 8 1 3 4 -6 6
19 Cadiz 9 1 3 5 -13 6
20 Elche 9 0 3 6 -15 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Sevilla
28′
🟨 Gonzalo Montiel
35′
🟨 Marcão
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Erik Lamela
46′
🔁 José Ángel Carmona
↦ Navas
53′
N. Gudelj 0–1
Isco
Dani Rodríguez 🔁
↦ I. Baba
57′
Ángel 🔁
↦ Abdón Prats
57′
L. Junior 🔁
↦ Antonio Sánchez
67′
A. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ Lee Kang-In
67′
67′
🔁 P. Gómez
↦ Isco
67′
🔁 M. Acuña
↦ Alex Telles
R. Battaglia 🔁
↦ Copete
79′
79′
🔁 Y. En-Nesyri
↦ E. Lamela
84′
🔁 Suso
↦ Óliver Torres
Dani Rodríguez 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Mallorca

5-4-1
1 P. Rajković G
15 Pablo Maffeo D
24 M. Valjent D
21 Raíllo D
6 Copete D
3 B. Cufré D
10 Antonio Sánchez M
4 Ruíz de Galarreta M
12 I. Baba M
19 Lee Kang-In M
9 Abdón Prats F
Bench (10)
14 Dani Rodríguez
22 Ángel
11 L. Junior
23 A. Ndiaye
16 R. Battaglia
5 F. Russo
31 Leo Román
20 G. González
33 Pere García
2 M. Nastasić

Coach: J. Aguirre

Sevilla

3-4-2-1
13 Y. Bounou G
2 G. Montiel D
14 T. Nianzou D
23 Marcão D
16 Navas M
10 I. Rakitić M
6 N. Gudelj M
3 Alex Telles M
21 Óliver Torres F
22 Isco F
17 E. Lamela F
Bench (12)
30 José Ángel Carmona
24 P. Gómez
19 M. Acuña
15 Y. En-Nesyri
7 Suso
5 K. Dolberg
11 A. Januzaj
8 Joan Jordán
18 T. Delaney
29 Kike Salas
12 Rafa Mir
1 M. Dmitrović

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,93
U
3,11
B ✓
2,63
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,34
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Iglesias · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.