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Bundesliga

Referee: B Brand

RB Leipzig

U T U S S

6–0

Full-time

FC Koln

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig FC Koln

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

63%

13%

Points per game

2,1

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

75%

63%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

63%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,4

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

4,31 xG 0,86

62% Possession 38%

24 Shots 6

13 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

11 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match RB Leipzig 6. · FC Koln 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	7	2	0	+27	+20.9	23
2	Leverkusen	8	7	1	0	+18	+9.8	22
3	Stuttgart	9	7	0	2	+16	+11.1	21
4	Dortmund	8	6	2	0	+9	+7.0	20
5	Hoffenheim	9	6	0	3	+4	-1.5	18
6	RB Leipzig	8	5	2	1	+12	+1.3	17
7	Ein Frankfurt	8	3	4	1	+3	-0.3	13
8	Freiburg	8	4	1	3	-5	-0.8	13
9	Wolfsburg	9	4	0	5	-1	+0.3	12
10	Augsburg	9	3	2	4	-3	+0.1	11
11	M'gladbach	9	2	3	4	-4	-0.2	9
12	Werder Bremen	9	3	0	6	-4	-3.9	9
13	Heidenheim	9	2	1	6	-9	-10.2	7
14	Darmstadt	9	2	1	6	-17	-11.2	7
15	Union Berlin	9	2	0	7	-8	-1.2	6
16	Bochum	9	0	5	4	-15	-10.2	5
17	FC Koln	8	1	1	6	-8	-4.9	4
18	Mainz	9	0	3	6	-15	-6.2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	4	1	0	+20	+14.7	13
2	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	+5	+5.7	13
3	Stuttgart	5	4	0	1	+13	+8.6	12
4	Leverkusen	4	4	0	0	+11	+7.3	12
5	Wolfsburg	4	3	0	1	+4	+1.7	9
6	Werder Bremen	5	3	0	2	+2	-0.1	9
7	Freiburg	4	3	0	1	+2	+1.2	9
8	RB Leipzig	4	2	2	0	+7	+0.5	8
9	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	2	0	+3	+2.2	8
10	Augsburg	5	2	2	1	+1	+1.0	8
11	Heidenheim	4	2	0	2	-1	-3.5	6
12	Darmstadt	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.0	4
13	M'gladbach	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.0	4
14	Bochum	4	0	3	1	-2	+0.8	3
15	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.3	3
16	FC Koln	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.0	3
17	Union Berlin	4	1	0	3	-5	-2.5	3
18	Mainz	4	0	1	3	-7	-1.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	5	5	0	0	+7	-0.1	15
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+7	+6.1	10
3	Leverkusen	4	3	1	0	+7	+2.5	10
4	RB Leipzig	4	3	0	1	+5	+0.8	9
5	Stuttgart	4	3	0	1	+3	+2.5	9
6	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.3	7
7	M'gladbach	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.8	5
8	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.5	5
9	Freiburg	4	1	1	2	-7	-2.0	4
10	Union Berlin	5	1	0	4	-3	+1.3	3
11	Augsburg	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.9	3
12	Wolfsburg	5	1	0	4	-5	-1.4	3
13	Darmstadt	5	1	0	4	-14	-10.3	3
14	Mainz	5	0	2	3	-8	-4.9	2
15	Bochum	5	0	2	3	-13	-11.0	2
16	FC Koln	4	0	1	3	-5	-3.9	1
17	Heidenheim	5	0	1	4	-8	-6.7	1
18	Werder Bremen	4	0	0	4	-6	-3.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.