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Pro League
Referee: Christof Dierick
Gent
T S U U S
4–2
Full-time
Westerlo
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gent 9. · Westerlo 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Anderlecht 4 2 2 0 +5 8
3 Genk 4 2 1 1 +3 7
4 Charleroi 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Club Brugge 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Standard 4 1 2 1 +1 5
7 Mechelen 4 1 2 1 +0 5
8 Kortrijk 4 1 2 1 -3 5
9 Gent 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 St Truiden 4 1 1 2 -2 4
11 Eupen 4 1 1 2 -4 4
12 Oostende 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 4 1 0 3 -2 3
14 Lokeren 4 1 0 3 -2 3
15 Beveren 4 0 2 2 -3 2
16 Westerlo 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Westerlo
22′
F. Daems 0–1
R. Henkens
Half-time 1–1
1–1 J. Perbet
M. Simon
47′
64′
🟨 Maxime Annys
2–1 J. Perbet
D. Miličević
69′
T. Foket 🔁
↦ D. NDongala
71′
74′
🔁 E. Acolatse
↦ J. Molenberghs
3–1 D. Miličević
K. Saief
76′
77′
🔁 M. Manias
↦ R. Henkens
K. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ D. Miličević
80′
R. Schoofs 🔁
↦ Renato Neto
83′
83′
🔁 N. Rommens
↦ M. Annys
85′
🟨 Elton Acolatse
86′
🟨 Koen Van Langendonck
4–1 K. Saief
87′
88′
E. Acolatse 4–2
J. Mustoe
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Gent

3-5-2
20 Y. Thoelen G
55 R. Gershon D
13 S. Mitrović D
28 S. Horemans
77 D. Miličević F
14 S. Kums M
10 Renato Neto M
15 K. Saief M
24 J. Perbet F
88 D. N'Dongala F
27 M. Simon F
Bench (7)
32 T. Foket
7 K. Coulibaly
16 R. Schoofs
8 T. Matton
11 E. Kujović
23 L. Nielsen
25 B. Vandenbussche

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Westerlo

4-4-2
30 K. Van Langendonck G
3 F. Daems D
2 M. Apau D
16 J. Mustoe M
17 K. Schuermans D
8 M. Annys M
6 R. Henkens M
23 J. Molenberghs M
11 K. Hyland M
10 B. De Ceulaer F
35 S. Ganvoula F
Bench (7)
9 E. Acolatse
33 M. Manias
28 N. Rommens
1 K. Van Hout
18 D. Heymans
22 G. Ruyssen
44 H. Matthys

Coach: B. Peeters

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christof Dierick · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.