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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Lokeren
U S T S T
0–3
Full-time
Genk
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lokeren Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

45% Possession 55%
4 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lokeren 12. · Genk 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Anderlecht 4 2 2 0 +5 8
3 Charleroi 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Club Brugge 3 2 0 1 +2 6
5 Standard 4 1 2 1 +1 5
6 Mechelen 4 1 2 1 +0 5
7 Kortrijk 4 1 2 1 -3 5
8 Gent 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Genk 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 St Truiden 4 1 1 2 -2 4
11 Eupen 4 1 1 2 -4 4
12 Lokeren 3 1 0 2 +1 3
13 Oostende 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 4 1 0 3 -2 3
15 Beveren 4 0 2 2 -3 2
16 Westerlo 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lokeren Genk
34′
M. Samatta 0–1
Pozuelo
38′
M. Samatta 0–2
Pozuelo
Sergiy Bolbat 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
M. Terki 🔁
↦ S. Ingason
46′
48′
L. Bailey 0–3
Pozuelo
55′
🟨 Jere Uronen
Sergiy Bolbat 🟨
60′
Sergiy Bolbat 🟥
60′
M. Tičinović 🔁
↦ N. Jambor
68′
L. Enoh 🔁
↦ T. De Sutter
72′
73′
🔁 N. Karelis
↦ M. Samatta
80′
🔁 P. Sabak
↦ Pozuelo
Branislav Niňaj 🟨
81′
84′
🔁 B. Kumordzi
↦ B. Heynen
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Lokeren

5-3-2
13 D. Verhulst G
6 A. Skúlason D
5 M. Marić D
11 G. Galitsios D
15 S. Ingason D
25 B. Ňinaj D
7 K. Overmeire M
23 N. Jambor M
9 T. De Sutter F
70 Jajá
50 S. Bolbat F
Bench (7)
14 M. Terki
19 M. Tičinović
29 L. Enoh
1 B. Barry
10 A. Patosi
20 J. Rassoul
21 M. Mirić

Coach: G. Leekens

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 M. Bizot G
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
5 S. Walsh D
4 O. Colley D
25 O. Ndidi M
24 Pozuelo M
28 B. Heynen M
14 L. Trossard F
77 M. Samatta F
31 L. Bailey F
Bench (7)
7 N. Karelis
20 P. Sabak
8 B. Kumordzi
15 D. Wouters
16 D. Vanzeir
26 L. Köteles
71 Y. Buyens

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.