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Serie A
Referee: Luca Banti
Atalanta
U S T U S
3–4
Full-time
Lazio
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

69% Possession 31%
18 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Mar -16 Lazio – Atalanta 2–0 28. Oct -15 Atalanta – Lazio 2–1

Match report

Atalanta Lazio
15′
⚽ C. Immobile 0–1
S. Milinković-Savić
20′
⚽ W. Hoedt 0–2
L. Biglia
33′
⚽ C. Lombardi 0–3
M. D'Alessandro 🔁
↦ B. Dramé
43′
Andrea Conti 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–3
62′
🟨 Jordan Lukaku
1–3 F. Kessié ⚽
A. Conti
63′
65′
🔁 F. Đorđević
↦ R. Kishna
2–3 F. Kessié ⚽
67′
Cristian Raimondi 🟨
68′
70′
🔁 Wallace
↦ C. Lombardi
A. Petagna 🔁
↦ E. Zukanović
79′
R. Gagliardini 🔁
↦ J. Kurtič
86′
87′
🔁 D. Cataldi
↦ S. Milinković-Savić
89′
⚽ D. Cataldi 2–4
D. Basta
90′
🟨 Ciro Immobile
3–4 A. Petagna ⚽
A. Conti
91′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-3
57 M. Sportiello G
93 B. Dramé D
6 E. Zukanović D
3 Rafael Tolói D
24 A. Conti M
19 F. Kessié M
10 A. Gómez F
77 C. Raimondi D
27 J. Kurtič M
37 L. Spinazzola M
43 A. Paloschi F
Bench (12)
7 M. D'Alessandro
29 A. Petagna
4 R. Gagliardini
30 D. Bassi
5 A. Masiello
17 C. Carmona
13 M. Caldara
52 B. Cabezas
8 G. Migliaccio
2 G. Stendardo
99 E. Latte Lath
47 S. Mazzini

Coach: G. Gasperini

Lazio

4-3-3
22 F. Marchetti G
8 D. Basta M
3 S. de Vrij D
6 J. Lukaku D
2 W. Hoedt D
20 L. Biglia M
16 M. Parolo M
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
17 C. Immobile F
7 R. Kishna M
25 C. Lombardi F
Bench (11)
9 F. Đorđević
13 Wallace
5 D. Cataldi
55 I. Vargić
1 T. Strakosha
97 L. Germoni
23 M. Leitner
4 Patric
44 F. Prce
70 C. Ikonomidis
96 A. Murgia

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Luca Banti · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.