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Serie A
Referee: Antonio Damato
Milan
U T U S T
3–2
Full-time
Torino
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 10
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Feb -16 Milan – Torino 1–0 17. Oct -15 Torino – Milan 1–1

Match report

Milan Torino
26′
🟨 Josef Martínez
28′
🔁 L. Boyé
↦ A. Ljajić
35′
🟨 Luca Rossettini
1–0 C. Bacca ⚽
I. Abate
38′
Gabriel Paletta 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
48′
⚽ A. Belotti 1–1
C. Molinaro
2–1 C. Bacca ⚽
M. Niang
50′
58′
🔁 M. López
↦ G. Vives
61′
🟨 Joel Obi
3–1 C. Bacca ⚽
62′
69′
🔁 D. Baselli
↦ J. Obi
A. Bertolacci 🔁
↦ G. Bonaventura
73′
A. Poli 🔁
↦ A. Bertolacci
78′
Luiz Adriano 🔁
↦ C. Bacca
87′
Gabriel Paletta 🟨
90′
Gabriel Paletta 🟥
90′
91′
⚽ D. Baselli 3–2
L. De Silvestri
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Milan

4-3-3
99 G. Donnarumma G
29 G. Paletta D
20 I. Abate D
31 L. Antonelli D
13 A. Romagnoli D
18 R. Montolivo M
5 G. Bonaventura M
33 J. Kucka M
70 C. Bacca F
11 M. Niang F
8 Suso F
Bench (12)
91 A. Bertolacci
16 A. Poli
7 Luiz Adriano
1 Diego López
2 M. De Sciglio
10 K. Honda
15 G. Gómez
21 L. Vangioni
22 Gabriel
73 M. Locatelli
93 R. Ely
96 D. Calabria

Coach: V. Montella

Torino

4-3-3
1 D. Padelli G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
3 C. Molinaro D
13 L. Rossettini D
20 G. Vives M
22 J. Obi M
6 A. Acquah M
10 A. Ljajić M
17 J. Martínez F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
31 L. Boyé
11 M. López
8 D. Baselli
4 Leandro Castán
5 C. Bovo
7 D. Zappacosta
15 M. Benassi
23 A. Barreca
28 S. Ichazo
30 M. Aramu
65 A. Gomis
77 P. Tachtsidis

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Antonio Damato · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.