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Ligue 1

Referee: B Bastien

Nantes

U U T U S

0–1

Full-time

Paris SG

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,8

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,14 xG 1,43

29% Possession 71%

6 Shots 18

0 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
2	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
3	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
4	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
5	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
7	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
8	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
9	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
10	Paris FC	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
11	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
12	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
13	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
14	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
15	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
16	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
2	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
3	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
4	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
6	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
7	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
8	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
2	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
3	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
4	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
5	Paris FC	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
6	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
7	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
8	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.