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Champions League
Referee: E Eskas
Atalanta
U S T S U
2–1
Full-time
Club Brugge
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,8
Scored
1,7
3,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
100%
80%
Both score Ø 30%
0%
60%
Average goals
4,0
4,2
Scored
0,0
3,4
Conceded
4,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+2,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,96 xG 0,86
48% Possession 52%
20 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Atalanta Club Brugge
38′
C. Tzolis 0–1
N. Tresoldi
Half-time 0–1
D. Zappacosta 🔁
↦ R. Bellanova
46′
Y. Musah 🔁
↦ O. Kossounou
53′
Yunus Musah 🟨
58′
K. Sulemana 🔁
↦ A. Lookman
61′
L. Samardzic 🔁
↦ Ederson
61′
63′
🔁 R. Vermant
↦ N. Tresoldi
1–1 L. Samardzic
74′
75′
🔁 H. Vetlesen
↦ C. Forbs
Marten de Roon 🟨
81′
2–1 M. Pasalic
Y. Musah
87′
M. Brescianini 🔁
↦ N. Krstovic
88′
89′
🔁 Z. Romero
↦ J. Ordonez
89′
🔁 B. Meijer
↦ K. Sabbe
89′
🔁 S. Campbell
↦ C. Sandra
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
29 M. Carnesecchi G
3 O. Kossounou D
19 B. Djimsiti D
69 H. Ahanor D
16 R. Bellanova M
13 Ederson M
15 M. De Roon M
47 L. Bernasconi M
8 M. Pasalic F
90 N. Krstovic F
11 A. Lookman F
Bench (9)
31 F. Rossi
57 M. Sportiello
6 Y. Musah
7 K. Sulemana
10 L. Samardzic
40 R. Obric
44 M. Brescianini
70 D. Maldini
77 D. Zappacosta

Coach: Raffaele Palladino

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
29 N. Jackers G
64 K. Sabbe D
4 J. Ordonez D
44 B. Mechele D
65 J. Seys D
25 A. Stankovic M
11 C. Sandra M
9 C. Forbs M
20 H. Vanaken M
8 C. Tzolis M
7 N. Tresoldi F
Bench (12)
16 D. van den Heuvel
2 Z. Romero
6 L. Reis
10 H. Vetlesen
14 B. Meijer
17 R. Vermant
19 G. Nilsson
24 V. Osuji
41 H. Siquet
62 L. Audoor
67 M. Diakhon
84 S. Campbell

Coach: Ivan Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Eskas · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.