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Champions League
Referee: M Lukjancukas
Pafos
S S S U U
1–5
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pafos Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,5
4,7
Scored
1,2
3,7
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 79%
57%
100%
Points per game
2,1
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
14%
100%
Both score Ø 72%
43%
100%
Average goals
1,6
4,0
Scored
1,1
3,0
Conceded
0,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

0,39 xG 4,54
33% Possession 67%
6 Shots 26
2 Shots on target 15
1 Blocked shots 4
10 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Pafos Bayern Munich
15′
⚽ H. Kane 0–1
M. Olise
20′
⚽ R. Guerreiro 0–2
N. Jackson
31′
⚽ N. Jackson 0–3
M. Olise
34′
⚽ H. Kane 0–4
1–4 M. Orsic ⚽
45′
Half-time 1–4
Mislav Oršić 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 S. Gnabry
↦ L. Diaz
M. Bassouamina 🔁
↦ Anderson Silva
59′
L. Dimata 🔁
↦ Jaja
59′
B. Langa 🔁
↦ David Luiz
59′
64′
🔁 S. Boey
↦ H. Kane
D. Quina 🔁
↦ V. Dragomir
66′
68′
⚽ M. Olise 1–5
N. Jackson
72′
🔁 J. Tah
↦ D. Upamecano
72′
🔁 L. Karl
↦ M. Olise
K. Sema 🔁
↦ K. Pileas
79′
83′
🔁 T. Bischof
↦ K. Laimer
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Pafos

4-2-3-1
93 N. Michail G
23 D. Luckassen D
5 D. Goldar D
4 David Luiz D
2 K. Pileas D
26 I. Sunjic M
88 Pepe M
11 Jaja M
30 V. Dragomir M
17 M. Orsic M
33 Anderson Silva F
Bench (8)
1 J. Gorter
82 P. Petrou
8 D. Quina
9 M. Bassouamina
10 L. Dimata
12 K. Sema
25 B. Langa
77 J. Correia

Coach: Albert Celades

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
27 K. Laimer D
2 D. Upamecano D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
22 R. Guerreiro D
6 J. Kimmich M
45 A. Pavlovic M
17 M. Olise M
9 H. Kane M
14 L. Diaz M
11 N. Jackson F
Bench (9)
26 S. Ulreich
48 L. Klanac
4 J. Tah
7 S. Gnabry
8 L. Goretzka
20 T. Bischof
23 S. Boey
36 W. Mike
42 L. Karl

Coach: Vincent Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Lukjancukas · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.