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Pro League
Referee: Jasper Vergoote
Standard
S U T T U
1–2
Full-time
Club Brugge
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
4,5
Scored
0,7
3,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,4
3,4
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,21 xG 1,38
37% Possession 63%
18 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 13. · Club Brugge 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 6 4 2 0 +10 +9.2 14
2 Waregem 9 4 1 4 +0 -1.9 13
3 Anderlecht 7 3 3 1 +6 +4.7 12
4 St Truiden 6 3 2 1 +2 +5.0 11
5 Club Brugge 5 3 1 1 +3 +2.7 10
6 RAAL La Louviere 8 3 1 4 -2 -5.7 10
7 Gent 3 3 0 0 +5 +2.2 9
8 Mechelen 6 2 3 1 +1 +0.2 9
9 Cercle Brugge 7 2 2 3 +1 +0.9 8
10 Charleroi 5 2 1 2 +1 -0.7 7
11 Westerlo 6 2 1 3 -2 +0.4 7
12 Antwerp 5 1 2 2 -2 -5.2 5
13 Standard 5 1 2 2 -4 -3.2 5
14 Genk 4 1 1 2 -1 +1.5 4
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5 1 1 3 -7 -1.0 4
16 Dender 7 0 1 6 -11 -8.8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Club Brugge
1–0 R. Said
8′
10′
C. Tzolis 1–1
C. Forbs
Casper Nielsen 🟨
23′
Tobias Mohr 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–1
56′
🟨 Joaquin Seys
Marlon Fossey 🟥
62′
H. Lawrence 🔁
↦ D. Eckert Ayensa
67′
68′
🔁 R. Vermant
↦ N. Tresoldi
69′
🔁 L. Reis
↦ C. Sandra
I. Hautekiet 🔁
↦ D. Dierckx
73′
T. Nkada 🔁
↦ T. Henry
73′
75′
🔁 K. Sabbe
↦ J. Seys
83′
🔁 H. Siquet
↦ B. Meijer
83′
🔁 S. Campbell
↦ C. Forbs
H. Sahabo 🔁
↦ C. Nielsen
88′
L. Kuavita 🔁
↦ R. Said
88′
90′
R. Vermant 1–2
B. Mechele
Ibrahim Karamoko 🟨
92′
Léandre Kuavita 🟨
98′
98′
🟨 Christos Tzolis
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Standard

4-2-3-1
1 M. Epolo G
13 M. Fossey D
29 D. Dierckx D
20 I. Karamoko D
7 T. Mohr D
23 M. Ilaimaharitra M
94 C. Nielsen M
11 A. Abid M
10 D. Eckert Ayensa M
17 R. Said M
9 T. Henry F
Bench (9)
21 L. Pirard
8 N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
18 H. Lawrence
22 A. Calut
24 J. Homawoo
25 I. Hautekiet
6 H. Sahabo
14 L. Kuavita
59 T. Nkada

Coach: Vincent Euvrard

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
29 N. Jackers G
65 J. Seys D
4 J. Ordonez D
44 B. Mechele D
14 B. Meijer D
25 A. Stankovic M
20 H. Vanaken M
9 C. Forbs M
11 C. Sandra M
8 C. Tzolis M
7 N. Tresoldi F
Bench (11)
16 D. van den Heuvel
24 V. Osuji
41 H. Siquet
58 J. Spileers
64 K. Sabbe
6 L. Reis
10 H. Vetlesen
62 L. Audoor
17 R. Vermant
19 G. Nilsson
84 S. Campbell

Coach: Nicky Hayen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,23
U
4,10
B ✓
1,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jasper Vergoote · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.