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Süper Lig
Referee: Yasin Kol
Galatasaray
S T S S S
1–1
Full-time
Besiktas
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
71%
83%
Both score Ø 40%
29%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,7
1,8
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,4
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,10 xG 1,61
54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 8
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Galatasaray 1. · Besiktas 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 7 7 0 0 +17 +10.1 21
2 Trabzonspor 8 5 2 1 +7 +2.8 17
3 Fenerbahce 7 4 3 0 +7 +10.8 15
4 Goztep 7 3 4 0 +8 +3.2 13
5 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 +3 +6.2 12
6 Samsunspor 7 3 3 1 +2 +1.4 12
7 Gaziantep 7 3 2 2 -2 -1.5 11
8 Konyaspor 6 3 1 2 +4 -1.1 10
9 Alanyaspor 8 2 4 2 +1 -3.8 10
10 Antalyaspor 8 3 1 4 -4 -4.7 10
11 Kasimpasa 7 2 2 3 -1 -1.5 8
12 Rizespor 7 2 2 3 -2 +1.2 8
13 Buyuksehyr 6 1 3 2 +0 -0.1 6
14 Genclerbirligi 8 1 2 5 -5 -4.4 5
15 Kocaelispor 8 1 2 5 -7 -2.7 5
16 Eyüpspor 8 1 2 5 -7 -6.1 5
17 Kayserispor 8 0 5 3 -12 -5.7 5
18 Karagumruk 7 1 0 6 -9 -4.1 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Galatasaray Besiktas
12′
T. Abraham 0–1
R. Sallai 🔁
↦ W. Singo
26′
Davinson Sánchez 🟥
34′
Victor Osimhen 🟨
40′
40′
🟨 Emirhan Topçu
Half-time 1–1
1–1 I. Gundogan
L. Torreira
55′
59′
🟨 Gökhan Sazdağı
66′
🔁 F. Uduokhai
↦ E. Topcu
67′
🔁 C. Under
↦ V. Cerny
Gabriel Sara 🔁
↦ I. Gundogan
77′
E. Elmali 🔁
↦ Y. Akgun
77′
79′
🟨 Felix Uduokhai
83′
🔁 M. Rashica
↦ T. Abraham
M. Icardi 🔁
↦ V. Osimhen
86′
L. Sane 🔁
↦ B. A. Yilmaz
86′
86′
🔁 K. Kayra Yilmaz
↦ W. Ndidi
90′
🟨 Orkun Kökçü
90′
🟨 El Bilal Touré
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 U. Cakir G
90 W. Singo D
6 D. Sanchez D
42 A. Bardakci D
4 I. Jakobs D
34 L. Torreira M
99 M. Lemina M
11 Y. Akgun M
20 I. Gundogan M
53 B. A. Yilmaz M
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (10)
19 G. Guvenc
3 M. Baltaci
7 R. Sallai
8 Gabriel Sara
9 M. Icardi
10 L. Sane
17 E. Elmali
18 B. Kutlu
21 A. Kutucu
91 A. Unyay

Coach: Okan Buruk

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
1 M. Gunok G
25 G. Sazdagi D
35 T. Djalo D
53 E. Topcu D
39 D. Jurasek D
4 W. Ndidi M
10 O. Kokcu M
18 V. Cerny M
27 Rafa Silva M
19 E. B. Toure M
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (10)
30 E. Destanoglu
3 Gabriel Paulista
7 M. Rashica
11 C. Under
14 F. Uduokhai
17 K. Kayra Yilmaz
20 N. Uysal
26 Jota Silva
33 R. Yilmaz
91 M. Hekimoglu

Coach: Ali Rıza Sergen Yalçın

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,59
U ✓
4,34
B
4,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,46
U2,5 ✓
2,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Yasin Kol · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.