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Conference League
Referee: I Frid
0–1
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dnipro-1 AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
2,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
4 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dnipro-1 AZ Alkmaar
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 Y. Sugawara
↦ P. Hatzidiakos
62′
🔁 M. Lahdo
↦ J. Odgaard
62′
🔁 M. de Wit
↦ M. Kerkez
63′
D. de Wit 0–1
Y. Sugawara
F. Bahlouli 🔁
↦ O. Pikhalyonok
69′
O. Nazarenko 🔁
↦ Y. Hamache
69′
I. Kogut 🔁
↦ V. Rubchynskyi
77′
V. Tanchyk 🔁
↦ O. Svatok
77′
A. Gromov 🔁
↦ R. Babenko
85′
89′
🔁 R. Bazoer
↦ M. van Brederode
92′
🟨 Riechedly Bazoer
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Dnipro-1

4-3-3
93 Max Walef G
3 V. Adamyuk D
39 O. Svatok D
5 E. Sarapyi D
6 Busanello D
8 O. Pikhalyonok M
18 R. Babenko M
22 V. Rubchynskyi M
9 O. Gutsulyak F
7 A. Dovbyk F
13 Y. Hamache F
Bench (9)
10 F. Bahlouli
29 O. Nazarenko
25 I. Kogut
34 V. Tanchyk
11 A. Gromov
1 V. Rybak
15 S. Loginov
20 S. Gorbunov
33 V. Yurchuk

Coach: O. Kucher

AZ Alkmaar

4-4-2
12 H. Verhulst G
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
31 S. Beukema D
22 M. Dekker D
5 M. Kerkez D
18 H. Evjen M
8 J. Clasie M
6 T. Reijnders M
19 M. van Brederode M
7 J. Odgaard F
10 D. de Wit F
Bench (10)
2 Y. Sugawara
23 M. Lahdo
34 M. de Wit
25 R. Bazoer
13 S. Westerveld
32 F. de Jong
14 P. Koopmeiners
1 P. Vindahl
17 Y. Barası
27 Z. Vanheusden

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Frid · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.