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Ligue 1
Referee: W Delajod
Monaco
U U S T U
1–4
Full-time
Lens
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 6. · Lens 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Marseille 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Lille 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Toulouse 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Monaco 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Lens 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Montpellier 2 1 0 1 -2 3
10 Clermont 2 1 0 1 -3 3
11 Angers 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Nice 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Nantes 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Brest 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Strasbourg 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Rennes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Ajaccio 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Auxerre 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Reims 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Troyes 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Lens
7′
L. Openda 0–1
David Costa
38′
D. Machado 0–2
Breel Embolo 🟨
40′
1–2 B. Badiashile
Caio Henrique
41′
Half-time 1–2
M. Camara 🔁
↦ E. Matazo
46′
55′
S. Fofana 1–3
A. Golovin 🔁
↦ T. Minamino
56′
Vanderson 🟨
58′
I. Jakobs 🔁
↦ Caio Henrique
67′
Wissam Ben Yedder 🟨
68′
Vanderson 🟨
72′
Vanderson 🟥
72′
75′
🔁 I. Ganago
↦ L. Openda
75′
🔁 W. Saïd
↦ David Costa
M. Sarr 🔁
↦ Jean Lucas
76′
78′
W. Saïd 1–4
S. Fofana
81′
🔁 J. Cabot
↦ P. Frankowski
81′
🔁 M. Haïdara
↦ D. Machado
88′
🔁 P. Berg
↦ S. Fofana
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Monaco

4-4-2
16 A. Nübel
6 A. Disasi
12 Caio Henrique
5 B. Badiashile
2 Vanderson
11 Jean Lucas
15 E. Matazo
10 W. Ben Yedder
18 T. Minamino
36 B. Embolo
27 K. Diatta M
Bench (9)
4 M. Camara
17 A. Golovin
14 I. Jakobs
23 M. Sarr
7 S. Diop
77 Gelson Martins
3 G. Maripán
31 K. Volland
30 T. Didillon

Coach: P. Clement

Lens

3-4-2-1
30 B. Samba
24 J. Gradit
3 D. Machado
4 K. Danso
14 F. Medina
8 S. Fofana
29 P. Frankowski
26 S. Samed
20 David Costa
7 F. Sotoca
11 L. Openda F
Bench (9)
9 I. Ganago
22 W. Saïd
19 J. Cabot
21 M. Haïdara
6 P. Berg
16 J. Leca
5 C. Wooh
13 Ł. Poręba
10 G. Kakuta

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U
3,96
B ✓
4,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,18
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.