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Europa League
Referee: Ə Ağayev
Sturm Graz
T S T S U
1–0
Full-time
Midtjylland
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
14 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 5
6 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Sturm Graz Midtjylland
1–0 E. Emegha ⚽
A. Dante
8′
Emanuel Emegha 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 K. Olsson
↦ O. Sørensen
M. Fuseini 🔁
↦ W. Bøving
63′
Stefan Hierländer 🟨
64′
A. Ajeti 🔁
↦ E. Emegha
70′
70′
🔁 E. Martínez
↦ P. Sisto
Stefan Hierländer 🟨
73′
Stefan Hierländer 🟥
73′
I. Ljubic 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
78′
D. Oroz 🔁
↦ J. Gorenc-Stankovic
79′
81′
🔁 E. Chilufya
↦ H. Dalsgaard
81′
🔁 M. Thychosen
↦ Paulinho
Ivan Ljubić 🟨
90′
Jusuf Gazibegović 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Gustav Isaksen
Albian Ajeti 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
44 A. Dante D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Gorenc-Stankovic M
8 A. Prass M
19 T. Horvat M
15 W. Bøving F
20 E. Emegha F
Bench (12)
29 M. Fuseini
9 A. Ajeti
30 I. Ljubic
18 D. Oroz
31 L. Marić
28 D. Schnegg
6 A. Borković
37 M. Wels
26 C. Lang
17 V. Demaku
32 T. Schützenauer
24 S. Ingolitsch

Coach: C. Ilzer

Midtjylland

4-3-3
1 J. Lössl G
14 H. Dalsgaard D
28 E. Sviatchenko D
73 Juninho D
29 Paulinho D
36 A. Dreyer M
24 O. Sørensen M
10 Evander M
11 G. Isaksen F
9 S. Kaba F
7 P. Sisto F
Bench (12)
8 K. Olsson
5 E. Martínez
18 E. Chilufya
17 M. Thychosen
30 M. Ugboh
16 E. Ólafsson
35 Charles
20 V. Andreasen
21 A. Hansen
4 S. Gartenmann
19 C. Kouakou
44 N. Dyhr

Coach: Albert Capellas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ə Ağayev · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.