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Europa League
Referee: S Boyko
Union Berlin
S U S S U
0–1
Full-time
St. Gilloise
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Union Berlin St. Gilloise
39′
S. Lynen 0–1
V. Boniface
Half-time 0–1
Christopher Trimmel 🟨
51′
S. Michel 🔁
↦ K. Behrens
60′
A. Schäfer 🔁
↦ G. Haraguchi
60′
T. Skarke 🔁
↦ J. Haberer
69′
69′
🔁 Cameron Puertas
↦ José Rodríguez
J. Ryerson 🔁
↦ C. Trimmel
70′
75′
🔁 S. Adingra
↦ D. Vanzeir
79′
🟨 Loic Lapoussin
J. Leweling 🔁
↦ D. Doekhi
82′
83′
🔁 D. Eckert Ayensa
↦ V. Boniface
András Schäfer 🟨
90′
Sven Michel ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
95′
Sven Michel 🟥
96′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Union Berlin

3-5-2
1 F. Rønnow G
3 P. Jaeckel D
31 R. Knoche D
5 D. Doekhi D
28 C. Trimmel M
24 G. Haraguchi M
8 R. Khedira M
19 J. Haberer M
23 N. Gießelmann M
17 K. Behrens F
27 S. Becker F
Bench (10)
11 S. Michel
13 A. Schäfer
21 T. Skarke
6 J. Ryerson
40 J. Leweling
39 Y. Stein
37 L. Grill
2 M. Thorsby
36 A. Kemlein
26 T. Puchacz

Coach: U. Fischer

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
59 I. Kandouss D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
20 S. Lynen M
4 José Rodríguez M
10 T. Teuma M
94 L. Lapoussin M
13 D. Vanzeir F
7 V. Boniface F
Bench (9)
23 Cameron Puertas
11 S. Adingra
9 D. Eckert Ayensa
29 G. Nilsson
14 J. Imbrechts
26 R. Sykes
6 O. El Azzouzi
21 L. Pirard
19 G. François

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.