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Europa League
Referee: D Strukan
Malmo FF
U S T S T
0–2
Full-time
Sp Braga
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
4,3
Scored
2,8
3,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 7
12 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Malmo FF Sp Braga
Erdal Rakip 🟨
12′
M. Turay 🔁
↦ E. Rakip
25′
30′
⚽ Bruno Rodrigues 0–1
Paulo Oliveira
Half-time 0–1
O. Toivonen 🔁
↦ I. Kiese Thelin
46′
S. Peña 🔁
↦ O. Lewicki
46′
49′
ℹ️ Vitinha
VAR: Goal cancelled
J. Ceesay 🔁
↦ F. Beijmo
56′
57′
🟨 Vitinha
61′
🔁 Álvaro Djaló
↦ Vítor Oliveira
68′
ℹ️ Nuno Sequeira
VAR: Penalty confirmed
70′
⚽ Ricardo Horta 0–2
74′
🔁 U. Račić
↦ André Horta
74′
🔁 Rodrigo Gomes
↦ Diego Lainez
Martin Olsson 🟨
78′
Mohamed Buya Turay 🟨
80′
Niklas Moisander 🟨
84′
85′
🟨 Nuno Sequeira
85′
🔁 C. Borja
↦ Nuno Sequeira
85′
🔁 Castro
↦ Ricardo Horta
J. Knudsen 🔁
↦ M. Olsson
88′
Jonas Knudsen 🟨
96′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Malmo FF

5-4-1
30 I. Diawara G
14 F. Beijmo D
24 L. Nielsen D
21 D. Hadžikadunić D
4 N. Moisander D
13 M. Olsson D
7 E. Rakip M
6 O. Lewicki M
10 A. Christiansen M
32 J. Inge Berget M
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
Bench (12)
33 M. Turay
11 O. Toivonen
8 S. Peña
15 J. Ceesay
3 J. Knudsen
40 E. Lomotey
23 M. Chaluš
20 M. Zeidan
31 H. Larsson
5 S. Rieks
39 V. Andersson
27 J. Dahlin

Coach: Å. Hareide

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus G
70 Fabiano D
15 Paulo Oliveira D
24 Bruno Rodrigues D
6 Nuno Sequeira D
18 Diego Lainez M
8 Ali Musrati M
10 André Horta M
21 Ricardo Horta M
9 Abel Ruiz F
99 Vítor Oliveira F
Bench (12)
14 Álvaro Djaló
19 U. Račić
7 Rodrigo Gomes
26 C. Borja
88 Castro
23 S. Banza
71 Hernâni Infande
29 J. Gorby
76 Dinis Pinto
5 S. Saatçı
91 L. Horníček
12 Tiago Sá

Coach: Artur Jorge

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Strukan · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.