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Europa League
Referee: G Kruashvili
AEK Larnaca
U S U S S
1–2
Full-time
Rennes
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Larnaca Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 9
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

AEK Larnaca Rennes
29′
⚽ A. Theate 0–1
K. Sulemana
1–1 Oier ⚽
R. Rosales
33′
Half-time 1–1
K. Christoforou 🔁
↦ R. Rosales
46′
57′
🔁 M. Terrier
↦ B. Meling
58′
🔁 B. Bourigeaud
↦ M. Abline
Á. Gyurcsó 🔁
↦ O. Altman
63′
68′
🟨 Baptiste Santamaria
Pere Pons 🔁
↦ I. Trichkovski
79′
Rafael Lopes 🔁
↦ V. Olatunji
80′
83′
🔁 L. Assignon
↦ L. Majer
Kypros Christoforou 🟨
89′
G. Naoum 🔁
↦ I. Faraj
93′
94′
⚽ L. Assignon 1–2
K. Sulemana
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

AEK Larnaca

4-2-3-1
1 K. Pirić G
16 R. Rosales D
15 H. Miličević D
4 N. Tomović D
14 Ángel García D
6 Oier M
7 Gus Ledes M
11 I. Faraj M
10 I. Trichkovski M
51 O. Altman M
19 V. Olatunji F
Bench (11)
24 K. Christoforou
45 Á. Gyurcsó
17 Pere Pons
12 Rafael Lopes
29 G. Naoum
66 R. Mamas
3 Mikel González
25 M. Gordić
38 I. Toumpas
21 N. Englezou
30 H. Andreou

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Rennes

4-3-3
30 S. Mandanda G
27 H. Traoré D
2 J. Rodon D
5 A. Theate D
25 B. Meling D
21 L. Majer M
8 B. Santamaría M
20 F. Tait M
10 K. Sulemana F
28 M. Abline F
3 A. Truffert F
Bench (8)
7 M. Terrier
14 B. Bourigeaud
22 L. Assignon
15 C. Wooh
31 G. Doué
1 D. Alemdar
89 R. Salin
35 N. Françoise

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kruashvili · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.