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Serie A
Referee: M Irrati
Juventus
T U T S U
1–1
Full-time
Roma
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,5
1,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 5. · Roma 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lazio 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Napoli 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Inter 3 2 0 1 +2 6
4 Roma 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Juventus 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Milan 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Atalanta 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Fiorentina 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Torino 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Udinese 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Sassuolo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Spezia 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 Bologna 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Salernitana 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Empoli 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Sampdoria 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Verona 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Cremonese 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Lecce 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Monza 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Roma
1–0 D. Vlahović
2′
Manuel Locatelli 🟨
6′
Manuel Locatelli ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
26′
41′
🟨 Bryan Cristante
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 N. Zalewski
↦ L. Spinazzola
46′
🔁 S. El Shaarawy
↦ G. Mancini
D. Zakaria 🔁
↦ A. Rabiot
58′
62′
🔁 Z. Çelik
↦ R. Karsdorp
69′
T. Abraham 1–1
P. Dybala
Filip Kostić 🟨
77′
W. McKennie 🔁
↦ J. Cuadrado
77′
A. Milik 🔁
↦ F. Miretti
77′
77′
🔁 M. Kumbulla
↦ P. Dybala
N. Rovella 🔁
↦ M. Locatelli
86′
M. Kean 🔁
↦ D. Vlahović
86′
93′
🔁 E. Bove
↦ L. Pellegrini
95′
🟨 Zeki Çelik
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Juventus

4-2-3-1
1 W. Szczęsny G
2 M. De Sciglio D
3 Bremer D
6 Danilo D
12 Alex Sandro D
25 A. Rabiot M
5 M. Locatelli M
11 J. Cuadrado M
20 F. Miretti M
17 F. Kostić M
9 D. Vlahović F
Bench (10)
28 D. Zakaria
8 W. McKennie
14 A. Milik
13 N. Rovella
18 M. Kean
24 D. Rugani
30 M. Soulé
36 M. Perin
23 C. Pinsoglio
15 F. Gatti

Coach: M. Allegri

Roma

3-4-2-1
1 Rui Patrício G
23 G. Mancini D
6 C. Smalling D
3 Ibañez D
2 R. Karsdorp M
4 B. Cristante M
8 N. Matić M
37 L. Spinazzola M
21 P. Dybala F
7 L. Pellegrini F
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (10)
59 N. Zalewski
92 S. El Shaarawy
19 Z. Çelik
24 M. Kumbulla
52 E. Bove
63 P. Boer
14 E. Shomurodov
99 M. Svilar
65 F. Tripi
17 M. Viña

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,38
U ✓
3,22
B
3,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Irrati · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.