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Conference League
Referee: M Di Bello
Aston Villa
S T S S S
2–1
Full-time
Legia
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/10 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
83%
70%
Both score Ø 65%
50%
80%
Average goals
3,7
3,9
Scored
2,8
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,65 xG 0,25
67% Possession 33%
12 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -23 Legia – Aston Villa 3–2

Match report

Aston Villa Legia
1–0 M. Diaby ⚽
Y. Tielemans
4′
20′
⚽ E. Muçi 1–1
Moussa Diaby 🟨
36′
39′
🟨 Marc Gual
Douglas Luiz 🟨
41′
41′
🟨 Paweł Wszołek
Half-time 1–1
Youri Tielemans 🟨
53′
55′
🔁 B. Kramer
↦ Marc Gual
55′
🔁 P. Kun
↦ Gil Dias
2–1 Álex Moreno ⚽
Douglas Luiz
58′
68′
🟨 Blaž Kramer
J. Ramsey 🔁
↦ Y. Tielemans
71′
L. Bailey 🔁
↦ J. McGinn
71′
75′
🟨 Artur Jędrzejczyk
76′
🔁 B. Kapustka
↦ Josué
76′
🔁 J. Çelhaka
↦ B. Slisz
N. Zaniolo 🔁
↦ M. Diaby
79′
L. Digne 🔁
↦ Álex Moreno
79′
83′
🔁 M. Rosołek
↦ P. Wszołek
L. Dendoncker 🔁
↦ Douglas Luiz
90′
Jhon Durán 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aston Villa

4-4-2
25 R. Olsen G
2 M. Cash D
4 E. Konsa D
17 C. Lenglet D
15 Álex Moreno D
8 Y. Tielemans M
44 B. Kamara M
6 Douglas Luiz M
7 J. McGinn M
19 M. Diaby F
24 J. Durán F
Bench (10)
41 J. Ramsey
31 L. Bailey
22 N. Zaniolo
12 L. Digne
32 L. Dendoncker
14 Pau Torres
3 Diego Carlos
1 E. Martínez
42 F. Marschall
16 C. Chambers

Coach: Unai Emery

Legia

3-4-3
1 K. Tobiasz G
12 R. Pankov D
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
3 S. Kapuadi D
13 P. Wszołek M
99 B. Slisz M
22 J. Elitim M
17 Gil Dias M
27 Josué F
28 Marc Gual F
20 E. Muçi F
Bench (12)
9 B. Kramer
33 P. Kun
67 B. Kapustka
21 J. Çelhaka
39 M. Rosołek
4 M. Burch
5 Yuri Ribeiro
26 F. Rejczyk
7 T. Pekhart
86 I. Strzałek
30 D. Hładun
8 R. Augustyniak

Coach: K. Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Di Bello · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.