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Europa League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Molde
T T S S S
2–2
Full-time
Qarabag
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,5
2,2
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
50%
63%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
75%
38%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,4
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,96 xG 1,35
58% Possession 42%
22 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -23 Qarabag – Molde 1–0

Match report

Molde Qarabag
11′
Juninho 0–1
M. Janković
Magnus Grødem 🟨
36′
Mathias Fjortoft Lovik 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
N. Ødegård 🔁
↦ M. Grødem
58′
60′
🔁 R. Xhixha
↦ Juninho
Magnus Eikrem 🟨
61′
66′
🟨 Patrick Andrade
E. Kitolano 🔁
↦ V. Berisha
69′
76′
🟨 Kevin Medina
77′
🔁 T. Bayramov
↦ Y. Benzia
78′
🔁 B. Hüseynov
↦ K. Medina
1–1 K. Eriksen
82′
2–1 K. Eriksen
E. Breivik
87′
89′
🔁 H. Keyta
↦ Leandro Andrade
95′
B. Mustafazadə 2–2
E. Cəfərquliyev
97′
🟨 Redon Xhixha
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Molde

5-3-2
12 O. Petersen G
31 M. Løvik D
19 E. Haugan D
3 C. Øyvann D
6 M. Ellingsen D
28 K. Haugen D
20 K. Eriksen M
16 E. Breivik M
22 M. Grødem M
7 M. Eikrem F
9 V. Berisha F
Bench (9)
33 N. Ødegård
10 E. Kitolano
36 F. Heggdal Kristoffersen
50 G. Nyheim
37 L. Juberg-Hovland
34 P. Lervik
46 A. Myklebust
2 M. Bjørnbak
25 A. Hagelskjær

Coach: E. Moe

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 A. Lunev G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
66 Patrick Andrade M
8 M. Janković M
15 Leandro Andrade M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
18 Juninho F
Bench (11)
19 R. Xhixha
27 T. Bayramov
55 B. Hüseynov
17 H. Keyta
4 R. Məmmədov
20 R. Almeyda
23 L. Gugeshashvili
30 A. Hüseynov
90 N. Axundzadə
5 M. Medvedev
2 Matheus Silva

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.