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Europa League
Referee: M Jug
Toulouse
T T S U T
0–0
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 54%
75%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,42 xG 1,49
53% Possession 47%
4 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -23 St. Gilloise – Toulouse 1–1

Match report

Toulouse St. Gilloise
14′
🟨 Charles Vanhoutte
34′
🟨 Kevin Mac Allister
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 Mohamed El Amine Amoura
Vincent Sierro 🟨
57′
F. Magri 🔁
↦ G. Suazo
66′
66′
🔁 G. Nilsson
↦ K. Rodríguez
66′
🔁 L. Amani
↦ M. Rasmussen
77′
🔁 N. Sadiki
↦ C. Vanhoutte
77′
🔁 C. Terho
↦ A. Castro-Montes
César Gelabert 🔁
↦ N. Schmidt
78′
90′
🔁 D. Eckert Ayensa
↦ K. Mac Allister
92′
🟨 Noah Sadiki
W. Kamanzi 🔁
↦ T. Dallinga
93′
D. Genreau 🔁
↦ A. Dønnum
93′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Toulouse

4-4-2
50 G. Restes G
3 M. Desler D
6 Logan Costa D
2 R. Nicolaisen D
23 M. Diarra D
15 A. Dønnum M
24 C. Cásseres M
8 V. Sierro M
17 G. Suazo M
9 T. Dallinga F
20 N. Schmidt F
Bench (10)
19 F. Magri
11 César Gelabert
12 W. Kamanzi
5 D. Genreau
40 J. Lacombe
13 C. Mawissa
10 I. Cissoko
30 Álex Domínguez
25 K. Keben
14 Y. Begraoui

Coach: Carles Martínez

St. Gilloise

3-4-3
49 A. Moris G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
21 A. Castro-Montes M
4 M. Rasmussen M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
10 L. Lapoussin M
47 M. Amoura F
13 K. Rodríguez F
23 Cameron Puertas F
Bench (11)
29 G. Nilsson
8 L. Amani
27 N. Sadiki
17 C. Terho
9 D. Eckert Ayensa
14 J. Imbrechts
35 N. Huygevelde
26 R. Sykes
11 H. Teklab
34 M. Wenssens
48 F. Leysen

Coach: A. Blessin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Jug · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.