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Europa League
Referee: S Sozza
Malmo FF
T S S U U
0–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,42 xG 1,74
61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Malmo FF Olympiakos
11′
🔁 L. Pirola
↦ F. Ortega
30′
⚽ A. El Kaabi 0–1
Gelson Martins
43′
🟨 David Carmo
Half-time 0–1
Zakaria Loukili 🟨
46′
A. Christiansen 🔁
↦ Z. Loukili
60′
69′
🟨 Ayoub El Kaabi
O. Rosengren 🔁
↦ L. Berg Johnsen
70′
O. Berg 🔁
↦ T. Ali
70′
78′
🔁 Dani García
↦ L. Pirola
79′
🔁 C. Kostoulas
↦ C. Mouzakitis
S. Rieks 🔁
↦ E. Botheim
81′
Sergio Peña 🟨
83′
83′
❌ Ayoub El Kaabi
penalty missed
85′
🔁 G. Masouras
↦ Gelson Martins
86′
🔁 M. Stamenić
↦ A. El Kaabi
90′
🟨 Konstantinos Tzolakis
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-2-3-1
27 J. Dahlin G
17 J. Stryger Larsen D
18 P. Jansson D
19 C. Rösler D
25 Gabriel Busanello D
8 S. Peña M
23 L. Berg Johnsen M
22 T. Ali M
34 Z. Loukili M
38 H. Bolin M
20 E. Botheim F
Bench (12)
10 A. Christiansen
7 O. Rosengren
16 O. Berg
5 S. Rieks
1 Ricardo Friedrich
13 M. Olsson
35 N. Zätterström
30 J. Persson
33 E. Makolli
14 S. Jørgensen
32 D. Guðjohnsen
37 A. Skogmar

Coach: H. Rydström

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
45 P. Retsos D
16 David Carmo D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
96 C. Mouzakitis M
23 Rodinei M
22 Chiquinho M
10 Gelson Martins M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (12)
5 L. Pirola
14 Dani García
84 C. Kostoulas
19 G. Masouras
8 M. Stamenić
29 T. Bakoulas
11 K. Velde
18 Willian
1 A. Paschalakis
17 R. Yaremchuk
27 Sérgio Oliveira
74 A. Ntoi

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.